Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

How each side have been playing

Groningen's last twenty matches show eight wins, four draws and eight losses, with 36 scored and 38 conceded. That's a mixed bag, and their last three league outings have been shaky: a 2-5 home loss to Ajax, a 1-5 away defeat to Excelsior and a 2-2 draw at NEC. Earlier in the sample there were some big wins too, including a 5-1 away win at PSV.

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1

Groningen to win

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Draw

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2

Sparta Rotterdam to win

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Groningen: 20 completed matches; Sparta Rotterdam: 20 completed matches.

Groningen

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

36

Conceded

38

Difference

-2

Sparta Rotterdam

20 matches

Win

20% 4 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

44

Difference

-12

Sparta Rotterdam's record over the same span is rougher: four wins, six draws and ten losses, with 32 scored and 44 conceded. Their most recent games have been scrappy rather than terrible, a 1-2 loss at Sparta Rotterdam against Ajax away day aside, with a 3-2 win over Willem II and a 3-3 draw at GO Ahead Eagles. Goals keep finding their net, though, home or away.

Neither side looks settled defensively right now.

Comparative Team Statistics: Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam

Recent meetings tell a different story

Looking at the head-to-head record, Sparta Rotterdam have actually won four of the last five meetings with Groningen, including a 5-2 cup win and a 2-0 league win as recently as January 2026. Groningen's only win in that stretch came back in November 2024.

Further back the fixture has swung both ways across the years, with some heavy scorelines on both sides, including a 4-0 and a 0-5. It's not a pattern that lines up neatly with where these two sit in the table right now.

This fixture has a habit of not following the table.

Where they sit

Groningen are seventh with 14 points from nine games, having won four and lost three. Sparta Rotterdam are down in thirteenth with nine points from the same number of matches, having won just twice.

Groningen's goal difference is better too, having scored 22 and conceded 19, against Sparta's 16 for and 22 against.

Players to watch

Groningen have two players on four goals in seven matches, T. van Bergen and B. Willumsson, while Sparta's M. Zonneveld matches that tally with four of his own in the same number of games.

Groningen:

Best scorers:

T. van Bergen - 4

B. Willumsson - 4

Best assist providers:

D. van der Werff - 3

T. van Bergen - 2

Sparta Rotterdam:

Best scorers:

M. Zonneveld - 4

Best assist providers:

B. Kuipers - 3

On the creative side, Groningen's D. van der Werff and Sparta's B. Kuipers both have three assists in seven matches, suggesting both sides have a reliable source of chances even if results haven't always followed.

Goals look the more reliable trend

Both defences have been leaky this season, and recent head-to-head meetings have often been high-scoring, including a 5-2 and a 4-0 among others. Recent league form adds to that picture, with Groningen's 2-5 loss to Ajax and 5-1 win at PSV, plus Sparta's 0-4 defeat to Heerenveen at home.

None of that guarantees an open game this time, since both sides have also played out tighter draws recently, but the overall trend across these fixtures leans towards goals rather than a tight, low-scoring affair.