FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: contrasting patterns

Cincinnati's last 20 matches read nine wins, six draws and five losses, though that sample includes Leagues Cup ties and a pre-season friendly against Burnley, not just league games. Strip those out mentally and their pure MLS form looks a touch shakier than the overall record suggests.

FC Cincinnati: 20 completed matches; New England Revolution: 20 completed matches.

FC Cincinnati

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

45

Conceded

45

Difference

0

New England Revolution

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

27

Difference

+7

New England's equivalent run shows ten wins, four draws and six losses, with a US Open Cup match mixed in too. Both sides have scored a fair amount, but Revolution have conceded notably less across their sample.

Cincinnati's home-heavy sample is inflated by cup football, so their recent league form is more even than the raw numbers imply.

Comparative Team Statistics: FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

Head-to-head: history leans one way, but it's old and mixed

These two have met 17 times since 2019 across MLS, the US Open Cup and friendlies, and New England have had the better of most of those meetings. The most recent competitive clash, back in March this year, ended 6-1 to Revolution.

Cincinnati have picked up the odd win in between, including a narrow home victory last spring, but the overall pattern favours New England. It's worth remembering this record spans several seasons and different squads, so it's background context rather than a guide to matchday form.

League table: Revolution well clear

New England Revolution sit second in the table with 46 points from 26 games, built on 14 wins against just eight defeats. FC Cincinnati are down in ninth with 33 points from 25 games, having won and lost eight apiece with nine draws in between.

That's a real gap in points-per-game terms, not just a name on a table. Cincinnati have also conceded more than they've scored across the season, which doesn't sit alongside a team many would call comfortable favourites.

The table gap is significant, but it doesn't automatically tell us how this specific game will go.

Team news: goals at the top, question marks elsewhere

Kevin Denkey and Evander have carried much of Cincinnati's scoring load this season, with Evander also leading the way for assists. For New England, Carles Gil and Dor Turgeman have been the main creative outlets going forward.

FC Cincinnati:

Best scorers:

K. Denkey - 14

Evander - 12

Best assist providers:

Evander - 8

Penalty cards:

G. Valenzuela x 2 x 2

O. Nwobodo x 1 x 6

Bryan Josías Ramírez León x 8

Injury list:

M. Miazga

K. Fletcher

New England Revolution:

Best scorers:

Carles Gil - 12

Best assist providers:

D. Turgeman - 7

Penalty cards:

B. Raines x 10

Injury list:

E. Kohler

There's a longer list of niggles and international call-ups on both sides as things stand, including doubts over Miazga and Fletcher for Cincinnati and injury concerns for Harrison, Yusuf, Campana and Langoni at New England. Given the fixture is still a couple of weeks away, none of this should be read as confirmed for matchday.

How this one could play out

Cincinnati's home games have tended to produce goals at both ends, which fits a side that concedes as often as it scores. New England's tighter defensive numbers suggest they might be well placed to exploit that, even away from home.

Given the table gap, Revolution's attacking depth and their recent head-to-head dominance, there's a reasonable case for them travelling with confidence. Cincinnati's home scoring record and the uncertainty around several players for both clubs keep things from feeling settled either way.