Estonia host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League. Both sides have had a mixed set of results over the past year, with Estonia generally picking up more wins and losing less often than Bulgaria across their recent matches.
What stands out is that these two already met last month in this same competition, and that game finished goalless. That result gives us a decent starting point before looking at how each side has performed elsewhere.
Analysis updated .
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How each side has been doing
Estonia have won four and drawn five of their last ten matches, losing only once, and they've conceded just six goals in that spell. Their recent Nations League matches have mostly been tight, low-scoring affairs, including back-to-back 0-0 and 1-0 results.
Estonia: 10 completed matches; Bulgaria: 10 completed matches.
Estonia
- Win
- 40% 4 / 10
- Draw
- 50% 5 / 10
- Loss
- 10% 1 / 10
- Scored
- 9
- Conceded
- 6
- Difference
- +3
Bulgaria
- Win
- 30% 3 / 10
- Draw
- 30% 3 / 10
- Loss
- 40% 4 / 10
- Scored
- 18
- Conceded
- 16
- Difference
- +2
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Estonia | Iceland | 06.10.2026 | 0-0 |
| UEFA Nations League | Estonia | Luxembourg | 03.10.2026 | 1-0 |
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Estonia | 29.09.2026 | 0-0 |
| UEFA Nations League | Iceland | Estonia | 26.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Baltic Cup | Estonia | Lithuania | 09.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| Baltic Cup | Estonia | Faroe Islands | 06.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| FIFA Series | Rwanda | Estonia | 30.03.2026 | 2-0 |
| FIFA Series | Kenya | Estonia | 27.03.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Cyprus | Estonia | 18.11.2025 | 2-4 |
| Friendlies | Estonia | Andorra | 09.09.2025 | 0-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 06.10.2026 | 0-2 |
| UEFA Nations League | Iceland | Bulgaria | 03.10.2026 | 3-0 |
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Estonia | 29.09.2026 | 0-0 |
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 26.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Moldova | Bulgaria | 05.06.2026 | 2-2 |
| Friendlies | Bulgaria | Montenegro | 01.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| FIFA Series | Indonesia | Bulgaria | 30.03.2026 | 0-1 |
| FIFA Series | Solomon Islands | Bulgaria | 27.03.2026 | 2-10 |
| Friendlies | Greece | Bulgaria | 10.06.2025 | 4-0 |
| Friendlies | Bulgaria | Cyprus | 06.06.2025 | 2-2 |
Bulgaria's record is more uneven. Three wins, three draws and four losses over ten games, with 18 scored and 16 conceded shows a team capable of both heavy defeats and big wins depending on the opposition. Their most recent Nations League outings, though, include away wins over Luxembourg and Iceland, so there's been some positive momentum there too.
Estonia's defensive solidity contrasts with Bulgaria's more unpredictable scoring pattern.
Comparative Team Statistics: Estonia vs Bulgaria

They've already met this season
The only meeting on record between these two came less than two months before this fixture, in the same Nations League group, and it ended 0-0 in Bulgaria. That's a small sample, but it does suggest neither side found it easy to break the other down last time out.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Estonia | 29.09.2026 | 0-0 |
Early group picture
With only one match played each so far in this group phase, Estonia sit second with a point from their draw, while Bulgaria are fourth after a defeat. It's an early snapshot rather than anything settled, but it lines up with Estonia's tidier recent form.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League C - Group D | |||||||
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7/1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2/1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2/7 | 3 |

What we know about the squads
There isn't a lot of player-specific detail to go on here. Bulgaria's A. Chandarov is listed as their top scorer in the data available, with a goal in his most recent appearance, but that's a single data point rather than a full picture of either squad's options.
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Anier | Estonia | 35 | Attacker | 183 | 85 |
| R. Sappinen | Estonia | 30 | Attacker | 177 | 73 |
| M. Igonen | Estonia | 30 | Goalkeeper | 186 | 78 |
| J. Tamm | Estonia | 34 | Defender | 192 | 97 |
| K. Mets | Estonia | 33 | Defender | 191 | 79 |
| M. Kuusk | Estonia | 30 | Defender | 181 | 76 |
| M. Käit | Estonia | 28 | Midfielder | 187 | 74 |
| F. Liivak | Estonia | 30 | Midfielder | 182 | 75 |
| E. Grünvald | Estonia | 25 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| M. Paskotši | Estonia | 23 | Defender | 188 | 84 |
| M. Ainsalu | Estonia | 30 | Attacker | 189 | 86 |
| M. Poom | Estonia | 27 | Midfielder | 186 | 72 |
| M. Männilaan | Estonia | 25 | Attacker | 189 | n/a |
| M. Schjønning-Larsen | Estonia | 25 | Defender | 187 | n/a |
| T. Tammik | Estonia | 24 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| M. Miller | Estonia | 29 | Midfielder | 178 | 78 |
| V. Sinyavskiy | Estonia | 29 | Defender | 180 | 72 |
| R. Peetson | Estonia | 31 | Defender | 185 | 76 |
| A. Tamm | Estonia | 25 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| J. Saliste | Estonia | 31 | Defender | 174 | 68 |
| K. Vallner | Estonia | 28 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| M. Soomets | Estonia | 26 | Midfielder | 182 | n/a |
| K. Hein | Estonia | 24 | Goalkeeper | 193 | 86 |
| I. Yakovlev | Estonia | 28 | Attacker | 165 | n/a |
| K. Palumets | Estonia | 23 | Midfielder | 187 | 76 |
| K. Hussar | Estonia | 24 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| E. Tõugjas | Estonia | 23 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| R. Saarma | Estonia | 25 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| D. Jepihhin | Estonia | 20 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| P. Kristal | Estonia | 18 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| M. Skvortsov | Estonia | 18 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Karel Mustmaa | n/a | n/a | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Naumov | Bulgaria | 28 | Goalkeeper | 186 | n/a |
| A. Iliev | Bulgaria | 32 | Attacker | 189 | n/a |
| I. Turitsov | Bulgaria | 27 | Defender | 170 | n/a |
| S. Ivanov | Bulgaria | 27 | Attacker | 177 | 70 |
| K. Dimitrov | Bulgaria | 29 | Defender | 189 | n/a |
| M. Minchev | Bulgaria | 25 | Attacker | 176 | 70 |
| D. Velkovski | Bulgaria | 31 | Defender | 185 | 68 |
| A. Chandarov | Bulgaria | 27 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Z. Dimitrov | Bulgaria | 28 | Midfielder | 180 | 71 |
| V. Nikolov | Bulgaria | 25 | Attacker | 192 | 75 |
| G. Rusev | Bulgaria | 28 | Midfielder | 177 | 73 |
| B. Tsonev | Bulgaria | 31 | Midfielder | 173 | 67 |
| D. Mitov | Bulgaria | 29 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 76 |
| A. Hristov | Bulgaria | 27 | Defender | 192 cm | 80 kg |
| S. Velkov | Bulgaria | 29 | Defender | 192 | 85 |
| A. Kraev | Bulgaria | 27 | Midfielder | 194 | 82 |
| I. Gruev | Bulgaria | 26 | Midfielder | 185 | 72 |
| A. Chernev | Bulgaria | 24 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| L. Petkov | Bulgaria | 25 | Attacker | 183 | 76 |
| M. Petkov | Bulgaria | 23 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| H. Petrov | Bulgaria | 24 | Defender | 186 | n/a |
| D. Sheytanov | Bulgaria | 27 | Goalkeeper | 189 | n/a |
| Y. Stoyanov | Bulgaria | 25 | Midfielder | 180 | n/a |
| E. Tsenov | Bulgaria | 24 | Defender | 191 | n/a |
| A. Bozhev | Bulgaria | 21 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| K. Stoyanov | Bulgaria | 23 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| T. Ivanov | Bulgaria | 22 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| K. Balov | Bulgaria | 20 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| P. Panayotov | Bulgaria | 21 | Midfielder | 160 | n/a |
Estonia's tidier recent record and home advantage make them the more stable-looking side on paper, but Bulgaria have shown they can win away from home too, and the sides have already drawn blank against each other once this group.
With no markets to reference, there's nothing concrete to back a pick against here, so we're happy to sit this one out.
