Estonia vs Bulgaria Prediction

Last updated 18 Oct 2026
Estonia
Estonia
UEFA Nations League
16.11.2026    17:00
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W1
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Bulgaria
Bulgaria

Estonia host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League. Both sides have had a mixed set of results over the past year, with Estonia generally picking up more wins and losing less often than Bulgaria across their recent matches.

What stands out is that these two already met last month in this same competition, and that game finished goalless. That result gives us a decent starting point before looking at how each side has performed elsewhere.

Analysis updated .

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How each side has been doing

Estonia have won four and drawn five of their last ten matches, losing only once, and they've conceded just six goals in that spell. Their recent Nations League matches have mostly been tight, low-scoring affairs, including back-to-back 0-0 and 1-0 results.

Estonia: 10 completed matches; Bulgaria: 10 completed matches.

Estonia

10 matches
Win
40% 4 / 10
Draw
50% 5 / 10
Loss
10% 1 / 10
Scored
9
Conceded
6
Difference
+3

Bulgaria

10 matches
Win
30% 3 / 10
Draw
30% 3 / 10
Loss
40% 4 / 10
Scored
18
Conceded
16
Difference
+2
Estonia
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Estonia Iceland 06.10.2026 0-0
UEFA Nations League Estonia Luxembourg 03.10.2026 1-0
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria Estonia 29.09.2026 0-0
UEFA Nations League Iceland Estonia 26.09.2026 1-1
Baltic Cup Estonia Lithuania 09.06.2026 1-0
Baltic Cup Estonia Faroe Islands 06.06.2026 1-0
FIFA Series Rwanda Estonia 30.03.2026 2-0
FIFA Series Kenya Estonia 27.03.2026 1-1
Friendlies Cyprus Estonia 18.11.2025 2-4
Friendlies Estonia Andorra 09.09.2025 0-0
Load more
Bulgaria
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Luxembourg Bulgaria 06.10.2026 0-2
UEFA Nations League Iceland Bulgaria 03.10.2026 3-0
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria Estonia 29.09.2026 0-0
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria Luxembourg 26.09.2026 1-2
Friendlies Moldova Bulgaria 05.06.2026 2-2
Friendlies Bulgaria Montenegro 01.06.2026 0-1
FIFA Series Indonesia Bulgaria 30.03.2026 0-1
FIFA Series Solomon Islands Bulgaria 27.03.2026 2-10
Friendlies Greece Bulgaria 10.06.2025 4-0
Friendlies Bulgaria Cyprus 06.06.2025 2-2
Load more

Bulgaria's record is more uneven. Three wins, three draws and four losses over ten games, with 18 scored and 16 conceded shows a team capable of both heavy defeats and big wins depending on the opposition. Their most recent Nations League outings, though, include away wins over Luxembourg and Iceland, so there's been some positive momentum there too.

Estonia's defensive solidity contrasts with Bulgaria's more unpredictable scoring pattern.

Comparative Team Statistics: Estonia vs Bulgaria

Estonia vs Bulgaria statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

They've already met this season

The only meeting on record between these two came less than two months before this fixture, in the same Nations League group, and it ended 0-0 in Bulgaria. That's a small sample, but it does suggest neither side found it easy to break the other down last time out.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Bulgaria Estonia 29.09.2026 0-0

Early group picture

With only one match played each so far in this group phase, Estonia sit second with a point from their draw, while Bulgaria are fourth after a defeat. It's an early snapshot rather than anything settled, but it lines up with Estonia's tidier recent form.

№ Team Played Win Draw Loss GF/GA Points
League C - Group D
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7/1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2/1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3/5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2/7 3
Estonia vs Bulgaria: UEFA Nations League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

What we know about the squads

There isn't a lot of player-specific detail to go on here. Bulgaria's A. Chandarov is listed as their top scorer in the data available, with a goal in his most recent appearance, but that's a single data point rather than a full picture of either squad's options.

Bulgaria:
Best scorers:
A. Chandarov - 1
Squad lists and player details

Squad and player details

Estonia
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
H. Anier Estonia 35 Attacker 183 85
R. Sappinen Estonia 30 Attacker 177 73
M. Igonen Estonia 30 Goalkeeper 186 78
J. Tamm Estonia 34 Defender 192 97
K. Mets Estonia 33 Defender 191 79
M. Kuusk Estonia 30 Defender 181 76
M. Käit Estonia 28 Midfielder 187 74
F. Liivak Estonia 30 Midfielder 182 75
E. Grünvald Estonia 25 Goalkeeper n/a n/a
M. Paskotši Estonia 23 Defender 188 84
M. Ainsalu Estonia 30 Attacker 189 86
M. Poom Estonia 27 Midfielder 186 72
M. Männilaan Estonia 25 Attacker 189 n/a
M. Schjønning-Larsen Estonia 25 Defender 187 n/a
T. Tammik Estonia 24 Defender n/a n/a
M. Miller Estonia 29 Midfielder 178 78
V. Sinyavskiy Estonia 29 Defender 180 72
R. Peetson Estonia 31 Defender 185 76
A. Tamm Estonia 25 Attacker n/a n/a
J. Saliste Estonia 31 Defender 174 68
K. Vallner Estonia 28 Goalkeeper n/a n/a
M. Soomets Estonia 26 Midfielder 182 n/a
K. Hein Estonia 24 Goalkeeper 193 86
I. Yakovlev Estonia 28 Attacker 165 n/a
K. Palumets Estonia 23 Midfielder 187 76
K. Hussar Estonia 24 Defender n/a n/a
E. Tõugjas Estonia 23 Defender n/a n/a
R. Saarma Estonia 25 Midfielder n/a n/a
D. Jepihhin Estonia 20 Attacker n/a n/a
P. Kristal Estonia 18 Midfielder n/a n/a
M. Skvortsov Estonia 18 Midfielder n/a n/a
Karel Mustmaa n/a n/a Attacker n/a n/a
Bulgaria
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
D. Naumov Bulgaria 28 Goalkeeper 186 n/a
A. Iliev Bulgaria 32 Attacker 189 n/a
I. Turitsov Bulgaria 27 Defender 170 n/a
S. Ivanov Bulgaria 27 Attacker 177 70
K. Dimitrov Bulgaria 29 Defender 189 n/a
M. Minchev Bulgaria 25 Attacker 176 70
D. Velkovski Bulgaria 31 Defender 185 68
A. Chandarov Bulgaria 27 Midfielder n/a n/a
Z. Dimitrov Bulgaria 28 Midfielder 180 71
V. Nikolov Bulgaria 25 Attacker 192 75
G. Rusev Bulgaria 28 Midfielder 177 73
B. Tsonev Bulgaria 31 Midfielder 173 67
D. Mitov Bulgaria 29 Goalkeeper 188 76
A. Hristov Bulgaria 27 Defender 192 cm 80 kg
S. Velkov Bulgaria 29 Defender 192 85
A. Kraev Bulgaria 27 Midfielder 194 82
I. Gruev Bulgaria 26 Midfielder 185 72
A. Chernev Bulgaria 24 Defender n/a n/a
L. Petkov Bulgaria 25 Attacker 183 76
M. Petkov Bulgaria 23 Midfielder n/a n/a
H. Petrov Bulgaria 24 Defender 186 n/a
D. Sheytanov Bulgaria 27 Goalkeeper 189 n/a
Y. Stoyanov Bulgaria 25 Midfielder 180 n/a
E. Tsenov Bulgaria 24 Defender 191 n/a
A. Bozhev Bulgaria 21 Goalkeeper n/a n/a
K. Stoyanov Bulgaria 23 Midfielder n/a n/a
T. Ivanov Bulgaria 22 Defender n/a n/a
K. Balov Bulgaria 20 Attacker n/a n/a
P. Panayotov Bulgaria 21 Midfielder 160 n/a

Estonia's tidier recent record and home advantage make them the more stable-looking side on paper, but Bulgaria have shown they can win away from home too, and the sides have already drawn blank against each other once this group.

With no markets to reference, there's nothing concrete to back a pick against here, so we're happy to sit this one out.

Who will win?


Estonia (0%)
Draw (0%)
Bulgaria (0%)
Vitory Santos
Author
Last updated: October 2026
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