Eastleigh vs Yeovil Town Prediction

Form guide: two very different pictures

Yeovil's recent run, spanning league, cup and a few friendlies, shows nine wins from twenty games with 46 goals scored and 28 conceded. That's a decent scoring rate, though it includes some one-sided cup and friendly results rather than purely league form.

Eastleigh: 20 completed matches; Yeovil Town: 20 completed matches.

Eastleigh

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

32

Difference

-10

Yeovil Town

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

45

Conceded

28

Difference

+17

Eastleigh's equivalent sample is much rougher: six wins, three draws and eleven losses, with more goals conceded than scored. Results like the 0-1 home defeat to Hartlepool and heavy losses in pre-season friendlies drag that picture down, though they've also found home wins over sides like Carlisle and Harrogate Town along the way.

Eastleigh's home form within that wider sample isn't as bleak as the overall numbers suggest.

Comparative Team Statistics: Eastleigh vs Yeovil Town

Head-to-head: a tighter rivalry than the table suggests

Across eleven recorded meetings stretching back to 2019, Eastleigh have won four, Yeovil three, with four draws. It's a fairly even split given how far apart these two currently sit in the division.

More notably, the last two fixtures both went to Eastleigh at home, including a 2-1 win back in April. That's not a huge sample, but it does show Yeovil haven't always found it easy at this ground.

League table: a clear gap on paper

Yeovil sit fourth with 25 points from 13 games, having scored 32 and conceded just 15. Eastleigh are down in 17th with 15 points from the same number of matches, their goal difference firmly negative at 14 for and 20 against.

That's a ten-point gap over a reasonably settled run of fixtures, and Yeovil's defensive record in particular stands out as the bigger difference between the two sides right now.

The league table points fairly strongly towards Yeovil as the stronger side this season.

How this one might play out

There's a genuine tension here. The table says Yeovil should have the upper hand, and their defensive numbers back that up. But Eastleigh have shown they can raise their game at home against this particular opponent, and their recent form sample includes some solid home results even amid the wider struggles.

Yeovil's own form isn't flawless either. A 0-6 defeat at Wealdstone and a 1-4 loss to AFC Fylde show they're not immune to off days, even if their overall numbers are strong. Both sides look capable of good and bad performances depending on the day.