Dunfermline vs Inverness CT Prediction

How both sides arrive

Dunfermline have gone six Championship games without defeat, though three of their last four have ended in draws rather than wins. It's a solid run, but not one built on consistently putting teams away.

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Dunfermline to win

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Draw

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Inverness CT to win

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Dunfermline: 20 completed matches; Inverness CT: 20 completed matches.

Dunfermline

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

18

Difference

+8

Inverness CT

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

25

Difference

+3

Inverness have actually won four of their last six league matches, including a comfortable one away at Raith Rovers. Their only blip in that spell was a narrow loss at Queen's Park, so they arrive with decent momentum of their own.

Neither side looks out of form, which points to a tight contest rather than one team dominating.

Comparative Team Statistics: Dunfermline vs Inverness CT

A history of stalemates

These two have met plenty of times over the years, and draws have been the most common outcome by some distance. Low-scoring results like 0-0s and 1-1s crop up again and again in their past meetings.

The most recent encounter, back in August this season, followed exactly that pattern and finished 0-0. It's not proof of what happens this time, but it fits a long-running trend between these two clubs.

This fixture has rarely been a goal glut, historically speaking.

Where they sit in the table

Inverness currently sit fourth with 16 points from 11 games, while Dunfermline are sixth on 14 points but from only nine matches. On a points-per-game basis, Dunfermline are actually just ahead.

The bigger contrast is defensively. Dunfermline have conceded just five goals in nine games, while Inverness have let in 11 across 11. That gap in defensive solidity is worth noting given how this fixture has played out historically.

Dunfermline's defence has been notably tighter than Inverness's this season.

Could this be another low-scoring affair?

Put the history and the current numbers together and a pattern starts to form. This fixture has leaned heavily towards draws and low scores, and Dunfermline's defence this season backs that up.

Inverness have scored goals in patches, including a couple of multi-goal away wins, so they're not incapable of finding the net. But their away form has also included games where they've shipped goals too, so it's not a one-way picture.