Crystal Palace vs Liverpool Prediction

Form snapshot: Liverpool steadier, Palace leaking goals

Liverpool's last 20 matches across competitions show a healthy return of 10 wins against just 4 defeats, though the goals have flowed at both ends. They've beaten Brighton and Villarreal recently but also lost to Arsenal and were thumped 3-0 by Manchester City, so there's some unevenness there.

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Crystal Palace to win

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Liverpool to win

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Crystal Palace: 20 completed matches; Liverpool: 20 completed matches.

Crystal Palace

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

36

Difference

-10

Liverpool

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

30

Difference

+8

Palace's record over the same stretch is far rockier: 10 losses from 20, with 36 goals conceded against only 26 scored. They did put five past Brighton and beat Nottingham Forest, but defeats to Tottenham and Newcastle in recent weeks show the inconsistency at the back.

Palace's defensive numbers are the bigger concern heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Crystal Palace vs Liverpool

Head-to-head: Palace have had Liverpool's number lately

Over the long run Liverpool have dominated this fixture, including some heavy wins. But the last four meetings tell a different story: Palace won the League Cup clash 3-0, beat Liverpool 2-1 in the league, and the Community Shield and a league meeting both ended level.

That run doesn't erase Liverpool's broader superiority, but it does suggest Palace aren't simply there to be swept aside when these two meet.

Where they sit

Liverpool are fifth with 15 points from eight games, a solid return built on four wins and just one defeat. Palace, by contrast, are down in 18th with seven points from nine matches, having lost six of them and conceded 21 goals already.

That gulf in the table lines up with how leaky Palace have looked defensively this term.

Players making the difference

Alexander Isak has been among the goals for Liverpool, netting four in his last five matches, with Cody Gakpo chipping in three assists over the same run. For Palace, Daichi Kamada has also provided three assists in five games, showing he's still finding teammates even as results have gone against his side.

Crystal Palace:

Best assist providers:

D. Kamada - 3

Penalty cards:

A. Disasi x 1

Liverpool:

Best scorers:

A. Isak - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Gakpo - 3

Penalty cards:

M. Kerkez x 2

On the discipline side, Axel Disasi has picked up a red card in his last three outings for Palace, which is worth keeping an eye on given how stretched their defence already looks.