Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce Prediction

Shakhtar's tidy run against Fenerbahçe's bumpier one

Shakhtar's last 20 matches read 13 wins, five draws and just two defeats, with 39 goals scored and only 10 conceded. A good chunk of that sample comes from Ukrainian Premier League fixtures and friendlies against sides well below Champions League level, so it's not a pure read on their European form.

Shakhtar Donetsk: 20 completed matches; Fenerbahce: 20 completed matches.

Shakhtar Donetsk

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

10

Difference

+27

Fenerbahce

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

22

Difference

+15

Fenerbahçe's record over a similar stretch shows 12 wins from 20, but it includes some rough European nights, including a 6-0 defeat at Aston Villa and draws with Lyon and AS Roma. Domestically they've been strong, with an 8-0 win over Eyüpspor among the highlights, but the Champions League has clearly been a tougher watch for them.

Shakhtar's overall numbers look the healthier of the two, but the level of opposition behind them needs weighing up.

Comparative Team Statistics: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce

Not much history to lean on

These two have only met three times on record. The most recent was a friendly back in 2022, won 1-0 by Fenerbahçe. Before that, two Champions League meetings from 2015 went 3-0 and 0-0, both involving Fenerbahçe on the scoresheet or not at all.

It's a thin and dated sample, so it doesn't tell us much about how this one will go.

Early picture in the league phase

Shakhtar sit 11th with four points from two games, having scored four and conceded two. Fenerbahçe are down in 28th with just one point, having scored once and shipped seven. It's only two matches into the league phase, so things can shift quickly, but Shakhtar's start has clearly been the stronger of the two.

A result here would do plenty for Fenerbahçe's position near the bottom of the table.

Talisca the standout for Fenerbahçe

Talisca has four goals in six matches, the clear top scorer among the Fenerbahçe attackers we have figures for. Greenwood and Aktürkoğlu have each set up two goals, showing where some of the creative supply has come from. We don't have equivalent numbers for Shakhtar's squad, so it's hard to put the two sides' attacking threats side by side.

Fenerbahce:

Best scorers:

Talisca - 4

M. Greenwood - 2

A. Brown - 2

Best assist providers:

M. Greenwood - 2

K. Aktürkoğlu - 2