Canada vs Peru Prediction & Betting Tips

Contrasting recent records

Canada's last 20 matches show nine wins, eight draws and just three losses, with 31 goals scored and only 12 conceded. That includes a decent run through the Gold Cup and their home matches at the World Cup, though the sample does end on back-to-back defeats, 0-1 to South Africa and then 0-3 to Morocco.

Canada: 20 completed matches; Peru: 20 completed matches.

Canada

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

12

Difference

+14

Peru

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

12

Conceded

30

Difference

-18

Peru's record over the same length of sample is much rougher: three wins, six draws and 11 losses, with just 11 goals for and 28 against. Most of that comes from a tough World Cup qualifying campaign in South America, where they lost to the likes of Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay.

Canada's overall numbers are clearly stronger, even allowing for that late dip in form.

Comparative Team Statistics: Canada vs Peru

Only one meeting on record

These two have played each other just once in the data we have, at the 2024 Copa America, where Canada won 1-0 away in Peru. It's a single result from a different competition and squad situation, so it doesn't tell us a great deal about how this friendly will go.

Names to watch

J. Vélez has been Peru's most productive player in this sample, scoring three goals in four matches, which suggests he's carrying a fair share of their attacking threat.

Canada:

Best scorers:

J. David - 3

Best assist providers:

T. Oluwaseyi - 2

Penalty cards:

T. Buchanan x 1

L. Millar x 2

D. Cornelius x 2

Peru:

Best scorers:

J. Vélez - 3

Best assist providers:

Y. Yotún - 2

Penalty cards:

M. López x 2

On the Canada side, T. Oluwaseyi has chipped in two assists in three games. A few Canada players - Millar, Cornelius and Buchanan - have picked up cards recently, including a red for Buchanan, so squad rotation for a friendly wouldn't be a surprise.

How this one might play out

Canada go into this with the better overall numbers, but their World Cup form tailed off with two losses in a row, so it's not all one-way traffic. Peru's qualifying campaign has been difficult, and their goal difference over this stretch is poor, but friendlies away from a competitive campaign can throw up different lineups and different intensity.

With just one previous meeting between the sides and a fair amount of time still to run before kickoff, there's enough uncertainty here that we wouldn't lean too hard on the recent form alone.