1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips

Neither side has settled into a rhythm

Hoffenheim's league form has been patchy. They lost at home to Dortmund, lost away at Köln, then bounced back with a home win over Stuttgart before losing again at Paderborn and exiting the Europa League tie to OFI. It's a stop-start run rather than a settled one.

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1899 Hoffenheim to win

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£26.60

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Draw

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Odds5.25

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Hamburger SV to win

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Odds7.5

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1899 Hoffenheim: 20 completed matches; Hamburger SV: 20 completed matches.

1899 Hoffenheim

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

36

Conceded

41

Difference

-5

Hamburger SV

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

41

Difference

-12

Hamburg's recent matches have been rougher still. They shipped five at home to Mainz, lost 5-0 away at Leipzig, then fell again at Dortmund and Köln. Heavy defeats have been a theme, and their away form in particular looks shaky right now.

Both teams arrive low on confidence, but Hamburg's losses have been by wider margins.

Comparative Team Statistics: 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV

Recent meetings have gone both ways

The last two league meetings split evenly. Hoffenheim won 4-1 at home back in December, while Hamburg returned the favour with a 2-1 away win in April. Going further back, this fixture has produced some big scorelines over the years, including a 5-1 and a couple of 4-0s.

There's no strong recent dominance either way, but goals have rarely been in short supply when these two meet.

Two struggling sides, but not equally so

In the actual Bundesliga table this season, Hoffenheim sit 14th with three points from four games, having scored seven and conceded ten. Hamburg are 16th on the same points tally, but their goal difference is far worse at minus eleven, having netted only twice themselves.

That gap in goals scored and conceded suggests Hamburg's issues run a bit deeper than Hoffenheim's, even though both are searching for consistency early on.

Hamburg's defensive numbers stand out as the bigger concern of the two.

A few names doing the heavy lifting

Hoffenheim's Daghim has been involved directly in four goals across his last four appearances, contributing both goals and assists, so he looks like their main attacking spark right now. Kramarić has picked up cards too, which points to him being heavily involved in the pressing game.

1899 Hoffenheim:

Best scorers:

A. Daghim - 2

Best assist providers:

A. Daghim - 2

B. Conté - 2

V. Coufal - 2

Penalty cards:

W. Burger x 3

O. Kabak x 2

A. Kramarić x 1

Hamburger SV:

Best assist providers:

A. Grønbæk - 2

On Hamburg's side, Grønbæk has chipped in with assists during a difficult run, suggesting there's still some creative output even while results have gone against them.

Leaky defences point to goals

With Hoffenheim conceding ten in four league games and Hamburg conceding thirteen in the same span, neither back line has been settled. Add in a head-to-head history that regularly produces three or more goals, and this doesn't look like a fixture built for a tight, low-scoring finish.

Hamburg's attack has been blunt, with just two goals scored so far, so a lot may depend on whether Hoffenheim's home form opens the game up rather than Hamburg finding a way back into it.