Birmingham vs Millwall Prediction

Recent form has been mixed for both

Birmingham's last four league games have gone loss, win, win, loss, with heavy wins over QPR and Preston sandwiched between away defeats at West Brom and Cardiff. Across their last 20 matches in all competitions they've won ten, drawn seven and lost only three, scoring freely along the way.

What could your bet return?

1

Birmingham to win

Your stake£

Odds2.06

Potential return

£41.20

Bet Now

X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

Bet Now

2

Millwall to win

Your stake£

Odds3.6

Potential return

£72.00

Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Birmingham: 20 completed matches; Millwall: 20 completed matches.

Birmingham

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

23

Difference

+11

Millwall

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

26

Difference

-1

Millwall's equivalent run reads loss, draw, loss, win, including a narrow away win at Preston but also defeats to Swansea and Portsmouth. Over their last 20 matches they've won seven, drawn five and lost eight, with goals conceded almost matching goals scored.

Birmingham's longer sample looks steadier, but neither side has been flawless lately.

Comparative Team Statistics: Birmingham vs Millwall

A fixture with no settled pattern

These two have met regularly down the years, and the head-to-head has swung wildly rather than settling into a pattern. The last two meetings alone produced a 4-0 Birmingham win and a 3-0 Millwall win, so recent history doesn't point firmly either way.

Further back there are plenty of one-sided scorelines in both directions, along with several draws, which suggests this fixture rarely plays out the same way twice.

League position tells its own story

Birmingham are fourth in the table after 11 games, with 20 points from five wins, five draws and just one defeat. Millwall are twelfth with 15 points from four wins, three draws and four losses in the same number of matches.

The gap isn't huge in games played, but Birmingham have conceded far fewer goals than Millwall across their respective seasons, which lines up with their higher position.

Birmingham's defensive record looks the more reliable of the two.

Key contributors to watch

Millwall's L. Dykes has four goals in eight matches, making him their main source of goals this season. Birmingham's L. Millar has racked up three assists in just four matches, a notable rate of chance creation when he's involved.

Birmingham:

Best assist providers:

L. Millar - 3

Penalty cards:

B. Osayi-Samuel x 3

Millwall:

Best scorers:

L. Dykes - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Neghli - 2

Jenson Metcalfe - 2

Penalty cards:

Jenson Metcalfe x 1 x 3

On the disciplinary side, Millwall's Jenson Metcalfe has picked up three yellows and a red in eight matches, while Birmingham's B. Osayi-Samuel has three yellows in the same span. Neither record points to an automatic absence here, but both are players referees will be watching.