Birmingham vs Millwall Prediction

Mixed form on both sides

Birmingham's league form this season has been steady without being spectacular. They've lost just once in their last eight Championship matches, but five of those have been draws, so the points have come slowly rather than in bursts.

Birmingham: 20 completed matches; Millwall: 20 completed matches.

Birmingham

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

10% 2 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

25

Difference

+8

Millwall

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

25

Difference

-1

Millwall have been far more up and down. Their last eight league games include a 4-0 win over Bolton and a 3-0 win over Norwich, but also heavy defeats, including a 1-5 loss at Southampton and a 0-3 home reverse to Wrexham.

Birmingham look the more consistent of the two, even if neither side has been pulling away from games regularly.

Comparative Team Statistics: Birmingham vs Millwall

Recent meetings have been one-sided

The last two meetings between these clubs have both gone heavily to the home side. Millwall won 3-0 at home in February, while Birmingham hit back with a 4-0 win at home in November last year.

Go back further and the picture changes. Plenty of these fixtures over the years have been close, low-scoring affairs, including several draws, so the recent big wins may say more about those specific matches than a settled pattern.

Level on points, close in the table

Birmingham sit 10th with 11 points from eight games, Millwall just below them in 11th on the same points total. Birmingham have the better draw-heavy record (two wins, five draws, one loss), while Millwall's results have swung more between wins and losses (three wins, two draws, three losses).

With identical points and similar goal numbers at this stage, there's not much separating these two in the current standings.

Players to watch

Millwall's L. Dykes has been their most reliable source of goals, with four in eight appearances. Birmingham's L. Millar has racked up three assists in just four matches, suggesting he's been a useful creative outlet when selected.

Birmingham:

Best assist providers:

L. Millar - 3

Penalty cards:

B. Osayi-Samuel x 3

Millwall:

Best scorers:

L. Dykes - 4

Best assist providers:

C. Neghli - 2

Jenson Metcalfe - 2

Penalty cards:

Jenson Metcalfe x 1 x 3

Millwall's Jenson Metcalfe has already picked up a red card this season alongside three yellows in eight games, worth keeping an eye on given the discipline angle, though this is well ahead of any confirmed matchday squad.