Belgium vs Türkiye Prediction & Betting Tips

Belgium's numbers look a lot healthier

Belgium's sample shows seven wins, three draws and just the one loss across eleven matches, with 29 goals scored and only 10 conceded. That's a strong return, and it includes a 2-0 win away at Italy in their last Nations League outing on 25 September.

Belgium: 11 completed matches; Türkiye: 8 completed matches.

Belgium

11 matches

Win

63.6% 7 / 11

Draw

27.3% 3 / 11

Loss

9.1% 1 / 11

Scored

29

Conceded

10

Difference

+19

Türkiye

8 matches

Win

50% 4 / 8

Draw

0% 0 / 8

Loss

50% 4 / 8

Scored

11

Conceded

9

Difference

+2

Türkiye's record over a similar stretch is far patchier: four wins and four losses from eight matches, with no draws at all. Their most recent game was a 0-1 home defeat to France, also in the Nations League, so they'll be keen to put that right.

Belgium arrive with more consistency behind them, even allowing for the mix of competitions and opponents in the sample.

Comparative Team Statistics: Belgium vs Türkiye

Lukebakio sharp, Çakır sees red

The player data we have centres mostly on that last international window. D. Lukebakio scored for Belgium, with Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere both picking up an assist in the same game. Several Belgium players, including Romelu Lukaku, also picked up a yellow card in that match, which is worth noting even if it doesn't tell us much about suspensions here.

Belgium:

Best scorers:

D. Lukebakio - 1

Best assist providers:

K. De Bruyne - 1

C. De Ketelaere - 1

Penalty cards:

R. Lukaku x 1

M. Fernandez-Pardo x 1

R. Lavia x 1

Türkiye:

Penalty cards:

U. Çakır x 1

For Türkiye, the one player note we have is a red card for U. Çakır in their defeat to France. It's a single data point rather than proof he'll be unavailable against Belgium, but it does hint at a rough night defensively for Türkiye last time out.

What this suggests heading into the match

Belgium go into this on the back of a composed away win, scoring freely across their sample and losing just once. That's the kind of underlying form that tends to travel well into a home fixture in this competition.

Türkiye, by contrast, are coming off a defeat with a man sent off, and their results tend to swing hard from win to loss with little consistency in between. That, plus the fresh setback against France, makes them harder to trust on the road here.