Avellino vs Sampdoria Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent league form

Avellino's last five league games have been a genuine mixed bag: two wins, a draw and two defeats, with the most recent outing ending in a 3-1 loss away at Ascoli. Before that they'd strung together back-to-back wins, so there's no clear direction to their form right now.

Avellino: 20 completed matches; Sampdoria: 20 completed matches.

Avellino

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

29

Difference

+2

Sampdoria

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

16

Conceded

24

Difference

-8

Sampdoria have had it tougher. Three straight defeats were only broken by a narrow 2-1 home win over Catanzaro in their last outing. Away from home specifically they've struggled, and that's relevant given they're on the road here.

Comparative Team Statistics: Avellino vs Sampdoria

Two meetings, two home wins

Avellino won 2-1 at home back in January, then Sampdoria returned the favour with a 2-1 home win of their own in March. Two matches, two home victories, both by the same margin.

It's a small sample, but it does suggest these games have been close and that home advantage has counted for something between this pair.

Where they sit

Avellino are ninth with seven points from five games, having scored seven and conceded six. Sampdoria are down in 17th with just four points from the same number of matches, and their goal difference is considerably worse at five scored against nine let in.

That's a meaningful gap in the early standings, even if five games is still a small sample to draw firm conclusions from.

The points gap gives Avellino a platform, even if neither side has shown consistent form yet.

Goal threats and cards to watch

R. Russo has been Avellino's main source of goals with three in five appearances, and A. Favilli has been busy setting them up with three assists in just three games. For Sampdoria, L. Insigne leads the way with two goals in four matches.

Avellino:

Best scorers:

R. Russo - 3

M. Besaggio - 2

Penalty cards:

M. Besaggio x 3

Sampdoria:

Best scorers:

L. Insigne - 2

Penalty cards:

O. Abildgaard x 1

L. Henderson x 3

M. Cicconi x 3

On discipline, Avellino's M. Besaggio and Sampdoria's L. Henderson and M. Cicconi are all carrying three yellow cards from their last five outings, so a suspension risk is there. Sampdoria's O. Abildgaard has already picked up a red card in three recent appearances, which is worth keeping an eye on.

How it might unfold

Both defences have been leaking goals at a similar rate this season, and both of this fixture's previous meetings finished 2-1. That points to a game that could easily produce goals at both ends rather than a comfortable shutout for either side.

Avellino's slightly healthier numbers and home advantage nudge things their way, but Sampdoria have shown in this exact matchup that they're capable of winning away too.