Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips

Form guide

Atletico Nacional's numbers stand out. Across their last 20 matches in all competitions they've won 14, drawn one and lost five, scoring 40 and conceding just 18. That's a side scoring freely and defending well too.

Atletico Nacional: 20 completed matches; Independiente Medellin: 20 completed matches.

Atletico Nacional

20 matches

Win

70% 14 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

18

Difference

+23

Independiente Medellin

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

24

Difference

+7

Independiente Medellin's record over the same length of sample reads 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 32 scored and 26 conceded. There's more unevenness there – some big away wins at Pasto and Pereira, but also home defeats to sides like Cucuta and Jaguares.

On raw output, Nacional look the more consistent side heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin

Head-to-head record

These two have met a lot recently, in the league and in the Copa Colombia. Of the last five meetings, Nacional have won three, with the other two finishing level – no defeats for them in that spell.

Look back further, though, and the fixture has produced some real swings, including a 5-2 Nacional win and a 3-3 draw, so it hasn't always followed a tidy pattern.

Recent meetings favour Nacional, but this derby has a habit of being unpredictable.

League position

The table backs up the form gap. Nacional sit top with 40 points from 19 games, while Medellin are down in 11th on 26 points from the same number of matches.

That's a 14-point gap between two sides meeting in this fixture.

Players to watch

Alfredo Morelos has been Nacional's main outlet, with 14 goals in 30 appearances this season, well ahead of Rengifo and Sarmiento on seven each. Rengifo also leads the assist charts with seven.

Atletico Nacional:

Best scorers:

A. Morelos - 14

Best assist providers:

J. Rengifo - 7

A. Morelos - 6

A. Sarmiento - 6

Penalty cards:

A. Román x 1 x 7

A. Morelos x 9

E. Cardona x 9

Independiente Medellin:

Best assist providers:

J. Montaño - 4

Penalty cards:

Y. González x 2 x 4

The data for Medellin is thinner – Montaño has four assists in 26 games – so it's hard to point to one standout attacker with what's on offer here. Yerson González's card record, four yellows and a red in 17 matches, is worth flagging, though it doesn't tell us anything about his eligibility for this particular fixture.