Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

Recent form

Arsenal's broader sample covers 20 matches across competitions, including last season's run-in and pre-season games, and it's a strong one: 14 wins, three draws, three losses, with 35 scored against 17 conceded. Even allowing for the mix of opposition, that's a side scoring freely.

Arsenal: 20 completed matches; Hull City: 20 completed matches.

Arsenal

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

38

Conceded

17

Difference

+21

Hull City

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

18

Difference

+6

Hull's equivalent sample spans their final Championship matches and this season's Premier League and cup fixtures. Seven wins, eight draws, five losses, with goals fairly even at 23 for and 18 against. The high draw count stands out and fits with a team that's often tight in games rather than being blown away.

Comparative Team Statistics: Arsenal vs Hull City

Head to head

The last meeting between these two was back in February 2017, when Arsenal won 2-0. Across the ten matches on record, Arsenal won most of them, including some heavy scorelines.

None of that really tells us much about either side now, given how long ago it was and how different both squads are today.

Where they sit

Arsenal are second in the table after five games, with four wins and just the one defeat so far. That's a strong early return, built on scoring eight and conceding only four.

Hull sit eighth from the same number of matches, with two wins, two draws and a single loss. They've conceded four as well, but scored two fewer, which points to a side that's competitive without being prolific.

Arsenal's points total suggests a side building real momentum, while Hull's draws show they're hard to put away.

Players to watch

Bukayo Saka has been Arsenal's main source of goals lately, with three in his last five appearances. Declan Rice and Riccardo Calafiori have each chipped in two assists over the same stretch, which points to goals coming from more than one area of the pitch.

Arsenal:

Best scorers:

B. Saka - 3

Best assist providers:

D. Rice - 2

R. Calafiori - 2

Penalty cards:

C. Tzolis x 2

Hull City:

Best scorers:

M. Belloumi - 2

Best assist providers:

M. Belloumi - 2

Penalty cards:

O. McBurnie x 3

M. Crooks x 3

For Hull, M. Belloumi has been involved at both ends, with two goals and two assists in his last five games. He looks like the player most likely to trouble Arsenal if Hull are going to create anything.

How this could go

Arsenal's home form and goal difference suggest they should create plenty, and Saka's recent scoring run adds to that picture. Hull's tendency to draw games, though, hints they won't just sit back and get overrun.

If Hull can keep things tight through Belloumi's work at both ends, this could be closer than Arsenal's league position implies. But Arsenal conceding so little this season makes it hard to see Hull doing a huge amount of damage at the other end.