Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form for both sides

Atletico's last five results have been three wins followed by two losses, including defeats away at Athletic Club and at Liverpool in the Champions League. Across their last 20 games in all competitions they've won 11, drawn 2 and lost 7, scoring 35 and conceding 27, which points to a team capable of good spells but not always consistent.

What could your bet return?

1

Alaves to win

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Odds3.5

Potential return

£70.00

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X

Draw

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Odds3.5

Potential return

£70.00

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2

Atletico Madrid to win

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Odds2

Potential return

£40.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Alaves: 20 completed matches; Atletico Madrid: 20 completed matches.

Alaves

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

23

Difference

+8

Atletico Madrid

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

35

Conceded

27

Difference

+8

Alaves have been streakier. Their last five league matches read draw, loss, loss, win, win, with a 5-2 home win over Osasuna and a narrow win over Villarreal mixed in among tighter defeats. Over their last 20 matches they've won 8, drawn 7 and lost 5, a record built on plenty of draws rather than one-sided results.

Neither side is arriving in banker form, but Atletico's win rate across the sample is clearly higher.

Comparative Team Statistics: Alaves vs Atletico Madrid

A history that leans one way

The head-to-head record between these two is heavily tilted towards Atletico Madrid. Looking back over the meetings on file, Atletico have won the majority, including a 4-1 and a couple of routine 1-0s, with Alaves picking up only occasional wins and draws along the way.

The two most recent league meetings were closer, though: a 1-1 draw and a 0-0, plus a narrow 1-0 to Atletico in January. So while the long-run pattern favours the visitors, the last few head-to-heads haven't been one-way traffic.

Where they sit after seven games

At this early stage of the season Atletico are second with 16 points from seven games, having won five, drawn one and lost one. Alaves are down in sixth on 11 points, with three wins, two draws and two losses from the same number of matches.

That's a five-point gap already, and Atletico have conceded only seven goals compared to Alaves's six against, so both are reasonably tight at the back even if Atletico have scored more.

The table backs up the idea that Atletico are the stronger side on the season so far, even allowing for how early it still is.

Names doing the damage

Álex Baena has four goals in seven appearances for Atletico this season, and J. David has three in just three matches, so the visitors have more than one route to goals. Gabriel Simeone has chipped in with assists too.

Alaves:

Best scorers:

L. Boyé - 4

M. Díaz - 3

Best assist providers:

M. Díaz - 3

Angel Pérez - 3

Atletico Madrid:

Best scorers:

Álex Baena - 4

J. David - 3

Best assist providers:

G. Simeone - 2

Penalty cards:

Robin Le Normand x 1

For Alaves, L. Boyé has four goals in six games and M. Díaz has three goals plus three assists, showing up as their main attacking threat. On the disciplinary side, Atletico's Robin Le Normand picked up a red card in his last four appearances, which is worth keeping an eye on given how far out this preview sits from kickoff.

Could be low on goals

Several of the recent head-to-head meetings here have finished 1-0, 1-1 or 0-0, and both teams have shown they can keep things tight defensively this season. Atletico's away performances have swung between comfortable wins and shutout losses, which hints at a match that could turn on one or two moments rather than an open shootout.

Alaves have drawn seven of their last 20 matches, so a cagey, low-scoring game wouldn't be a surprise if their home defensive record holds up.