Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë Prediction, 22 Oct 2026

Aarhus host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa Conference League league phase. The Danish side have had a bumpy autumn across competitions, while the Albanian champions have kept scoring goals in most of their outings this year.

Both clubs have already faced other sides in this season's league phase, so there's a decent form sample either side of this meeting. Aarhus's home record hasn't been as steady as you might expect from a club with European pedigree, and that's where this one gets interesting.

Analysis updated 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC.

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Two very different recent records

Aarhus have won 6 of their last 20 matches across all competitions, with 5 draws and 9 defeats, including a jarring 1-6 cup hammering by lower-league Skjold Sæby. There have been better days too, like a comfortable 3-0 league win over Sønderjyske and a spirited Champions League qualifying run, but the overall pattern is inconsistent.

What could your bet return?

Aarhus to win

Your stake£

Odds1.61

Potential return£32.20Bet Now

Draw

Your stake£

Odds3.96

Potential return£79.20Bet Now

Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win

Your stake£

Odds4.95

Potential return£99.00Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Aarhus: 20 completed matches; Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 20 completed matches.

Aarhus

20 matches

Win: 30% 6 / 20
Draw: 25% 5 / 20
Loss: 45% 9 / 20

Scored: 32
Conceded: 35
Difference: -3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

20 matches

Win: 55% 11 / 20
Draw: 25% 5 / 20
Loss: 20% 4 / 20

Scored: 45
Conceded: 23
Difference: +22

Aarhus
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Europa Conference League	Gent	Aarhus	15.10.2026	1-0
Superliga	Aarhus	Sonderjyske	12.10.2026	3-0
Friendlies Clubs	Aarhus	Vendsyssel FF	02.10.2026	2-1
Superliga	AC Horsens	Aarhus	20.09.2026	2-2
DBU Pokalen	Skjold Sæby	Aarhus	16.09.2026	1-6
Superliga	FC Nordsjaelland	Aarhus	13.09.2026	2-0
Superliga	Aarhus	Silkeborg	05.09.2026	2-2
Superliga	Aarhus	FC Midtjylland	02.09.2026	0-2
Superliga	Randers FC	Aarhus	30.08.2026	2-1
UEFA Europa League	Aarhus	Benfica	27.08.2026	1-3

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
UEFA Europa Conference League	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	FC Midtjylland	15.10.2026	1-1
Superliga	Laci	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	11.10.2026	0-2
Superliga	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Partizani	20.09.2026	2-1
Superliga	AF Elbasani	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	13.09.2026	2-1
Superliga	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Skenderbeu Korce	04.09.2026	2-1
Superliga	Vora	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	31.08.2026	1-3
UEFA Europa League	Lillestrom	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	27.08.2026	2-1
Superliga	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Tirana	23.08.2026	3-0
UEFA Europa League	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Lillestrom	20.08.2026	0-0
UEFA Europa League	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	Shamrock Rovers	13.08.2026	5-1

Egnatia Rrogozhinë's numbers read very differently. Eleven wins from 20, only four defeats, and 45 goals scored against 23 conceded. They've also shown they can live with stronger opposition in Europe, holding FC Midtjylland to a 1-1 draw in their most recent league-phase outing.

On recent sample, Egnatia's form looks the more reliable of the two, even allowing for the step up in opponent quality.

Comparative Team Statistics: Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: UEFA Europa Conference League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Could goals be the feature here

Aarhus have conceded 35 goals in their last 20 games, more than they've scored, which points to defensive gaps worth noting. Egnatia, for their part, have been the more productive side in front of goal across their own sample, averaging well over two goals a game for long stretches of the year.

At the same time, Egnatia's biggest European nights this year have often been tight rather than open, with draws against Midtjylland, Celje and Lillestrom all finishing level. That mix of attacking output and occasional caution in bigger games makes it hard to call the shape of this one with much confidence.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 1.61

X: 3.96

W2: 4.95

Handicap

Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Handicap (-3.5): 11.50

Handicap (-1.5): 10.50

Handicap (-3): 9.00

Handicap (-1): 9.00

Handicap (-2.75): 6.95

Handicap (-0.75): 6.30

Handicap (-2.5): 5.30

Handicap (-0.25): 4.15

Handicap (-2.25): 4.90

Handicap (0): 3.58

Handicap (-2): 4.45

Handicap (0.25): 2.60

Handicap (-1.75): 3.20

Handicap (0.75): 1.91

Handicap (-1.5): 2.63

Handicap (1): 1.69

Handicap (-1.25): 2.34

Handicap (1.25): 1.49

Handicap (-1): 2.07

Handicap (1.5): 1.38

Handicap (-0.75): 1.74

Handicap (1.75): 1.26

Handicap (-0.25): 1.39

Handicap (2): 1.14

Handicap (0): 1.21

Handicap (2.25): 1.11

Handicap (0.25): 1.16

Handicap (2.5): 1.09

Handicap (0.75): 1.06

Handicap (2.75): 1.04

Handicap (1): 1.03

Handicap (3): 1.02

Handicap (1.5): 1.02

Handicap (3.5): 1.01

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.02

Under (0.5): 12.50

Over (1): 1.01

Under (0.75): 9.30

Over (1.25): 1.09

Under (1): 8.80

Over (1.5): 1.19

Under (1.25): 5.30

Over (1.75): 1.24

Under (1.5): 3.80

Over (2): 1.31

Under (1.75): 3.34

Over (2.25): 1.52

Under (2): 2.97

Over (2.5): 1.75

Under (2.25): 2.29

Over (2.75): 1.90

Under (2.5): 2.01

Over (3): 2.24

Under (2.75): 1.76

Over (3.25): 2.52

Under (3): 1.53

Over (3.5): 2.83

Under (3.25): 1.41

Over (3.75): 3.42

Under (3.5): 1.33

Over (4): 4.60

Under (3.75): 1.23

Over (4.25): 5.00

Under (4): 1.13

Over (4.5): 5.35

Under (4.25): 1.10

Over (4.75): 6.90

Under (4.5): 1.09

Over (5): 8.60

Under (4.75): 1.04

Over (5.5): 9.10

Under (5): 1.01

Under (5.5): 1.01

More odds

Squad and player details

Aarhus
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
F. Tingager	Denmark	33	Defender	198	94
T. Mølgaard	Denmark	30	Defender	182	75
J. Hansen	Denmark	41	Goalkeeper	188	78
R. Carstensen	Denmark	25	Defender	183	75
S. Jørgensen	Denmark	26	Attacker	183	68
T. Bech	Denmark	24	Attacker	189	77
J. Serra	Germany	28	Attacker	193	87
M. Anderson	Iceland	28	Attacker	180	69
M. Hedenstad Christiansen	Norway	26	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
M. Knudsen	Norway	25	Midfielder	186	75
G. Links	South Africa	28	Midfielder	170	60
Kevin Yakob	Iraq	26	Midfielder	185	75
J. Jønsson	Denmark	33	Midfielder	182	78
D. Grétarsson	Iceland	31	Defender	185	76
M. Solbakken	Norway	26	Midfielder	182	70
C. McCowatt	New Zealand	27	Midfielder	179	73
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad	Norway	23	Midfielder	175	60
C. Rösler	Norway	26	Defender	186	72
E. Kahl	Sweden	25	Defender	178	69
J. Jensen-Abbew	Denmark	24	Defender	189	86
J. Andersen	Denmark	22	Defender	186	78
Luka Callø	Denmark	20	Defender	181	71
Frederik Emmery	Denmark	19	Midfielder	178	57
T. Kristjánsson	Iceland	18	Attacker	n/a	n/a
S. Tchamche	Denmark	20	Attacker	n/a	n/a
Oskar Haugstrup	Denmark	n/a	Midfielder	n/a	n/a
Christian Storch	Denmark	n/a	Defender	n/a	n/a
Z. Grantzau	n/a	n/a	Defender	n/a	n/a
J. Bogere	n/a	n/a	Attacker	n/a	n/a
H. Sengooba	n/a	n/a	Defender	n/a	n/a
O. Lyhne	n/a	n/a	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
Mouhammade Camara	Mali	19	Defender	n/a	n/a
M. van der Raad	n/a	n/a	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
Guillem Jaime	Spain	27	Defender	177	70
M. Dajsinani	Albania	27	Goalkeeper	188	n/a
A. Aleksi	Albania	34	Midfielder	n/a	n/a
B. Puja	Albania	26	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
E. Ndreca	Albania	32	Defender	n/a	n/a
E. Bitri	Albania	30	Defender	192 cm	86 kg
A. Kacbufi	Albania	25	Defender	n/a	n/a
E. Sota	Albania	28	Defender	n/a	n/a
Fernando Medeiros	Brazil	30	Midfielder	180	77
J. Montenegro	Costa Rica	25	Attacker	179	n/a
K. Loukili	Morocco	29	Midfielder	175	73
I. Gruda	Albania	26	Attacker	n/a	n/a
A. Kryeziu	Kosovo	24	Midfielder	183	n/a
Z. Əliyev	Azerbaijan	25	Defender	n/a	n/a
A. Albanese	Belgium	26	Attacker	174	70
L. Tandilashvili	Georgia	23	Goalkeeper	n/a	n/a
G. Smajli	Albania	24	Defender	n/a	n/a
N. Ajetovikj	North Macedonia	20	Defender	n/a	n/a
Andrey Yago	Brazil	28	Defender	178	70
I. Diabaté	Côte d'Ivoire	22	Midfielder	n/a	n/a
D. Adjessa	n/a	n/a	Attacker	n/a	n/a

Without a market to weigh against what we've seen from both sides, there's no clean angle to back here. Egnatia's season-long numbers are the more eye-catching of the two, but Aarhus have shown enough moments of quality to make this far from one-sided.

We'd rather wait and see how this one actually plays out than force a selection from a mixed and competition-spanning sample.