Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

Neither side has been tight at the back

Wellington Phoenix have won 7, drawn 4 and lost 9 of their last 20 matches, scoring 28 and shipping 40. That's a lot of goals conceded for a team playing a good chunk of those games at home.

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1

Wellington Phoenix to win

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Odds1.85

Potential return

£37.00

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Draw

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Odds3.75

Potential return

£75.00

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2

Central Coast Mariners to win

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Odds3.8

Potential return

£76.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Wellington Phoenix: 20 completed matches; Central Coast Mariners: 20 completed matches.

Wellington Phoenix

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

40

Difference

-12

Central Coast Mariners

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

37

Difference

-11

Central Coast Mariners are a touch steadier on paper, with 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses from 20 games, scoring 28 and conceding 35. Still, that's well over a goal and a half against per match on average.

Both teams have defensive records that suggest goals are likely to come from either direction.

Comparative Team Statistics: Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners

A head-to-head record with plenty of goals

These two have met regularly over the years and the results have swung both ways, from heavy wins like a 5-0 and a 2-8 to tighter 0-0 and 1-1 draws. The most recent meeting in December saw Wellington win 3-1 at home, while the one before that finished 1-1.

Across the sample of meetings available, goals have tended to flow rather than dry up, even allowing for a few low-scoring exceptions along the way.

History between these two leans towards open, goal-involved matches rather than stalemates.

Who's doing the damage

I. Eze is Wellington's main source of goals with 9 in 25 appearances, while T. Payne has chipped in 5 assists from fewer matches, suggesting a reasonably productive attack when it clicks.

Wellington Phoenix:

Best scorers:

I. Eze - 9

Best assist providers:

T. Payne - 5

C. Piper - 4

K. Nagasawa - 4

Penalty cards:

C. Armiento x 1 x 3

M. James x 1 x 1

A. Rufer x 8

Central Coast Mariners:

Best scorers:

S. Ngor - 6

Best assist providers:

M. Di Pizio - 4

Penalty cards:

N. Paull x 1 x 3

J. Donachie x 6

For Central Coast Mariners, S. Ngor leads the scoring with 6 goals, with M. Di Pizio among the more involved creators. Discipline-wise, A. Rufer and J. Donachie have picked up the most cards for their sides, though that's more a pattern than a certainty for this fixture.

How this one might unfold

Given how often both sides have conceded this season, and how goal-heavy their head-to-head history has been, there's a reasonable case for an open game rather than a cagey one.

Wellington's home record shows they can be got at defensively, while Central Coast Mariners haven't been watertight either, even in matches they've drawn.