Wolves vs Derby Prediction

Contrasting recent runs

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Wolves have won 11, drawn 4 and lost 5, scoring 33 and conceding 20. That's a healthy overall return, but the last five Championship games show some wobble: a win over Watford, a draw with Portsmouth, a win at Burnley, then back-to-back home defeats to Bolton and a loss at Middlesbrough.

Wolves: 20 completed matches; Derby: 20 completed matches.

Wolves

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

20

Difference

+13

Derby

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

20

Conceded

33

Difference

-13

Derby's picture is tougher. Over their last 20 games their record reads just 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses, with 20 scored against 33 conceded. Zoom into their last five Championship matches and there isn't a single win there either: two draws, a loss, another draw, and a heavy 4-1 defeat at QPR.

Wolves have the better underlying numbers, but their recent dip means this isn't a banker on form alone.

Comparative Team Statistics: Wolves vs Derby

Head-to-head history

These two have met plenty of times before, though all the recorded meetings here stretch back to between 2012 and 2018, so they don't tell us much about either side's current form. Wolves have the better share of those results, including a 5-0 and a 4-2 win, but Derby also won 3-1 and 2-0 in that spread of fixtures.

Given how long ago those games were, this history is worth noting but shouldn't carry much weight for this particular match.

Where they sit in the table

Wolves are 8th with 17 points from 10 games, having scored 18 and conceded 15. That's a respectable mid-table position.

Derby are down in 23rd with just 6 points from 11 games, a goal difference of minus 11. That gap in the table lines up with the form each side has been showing lately.

Players to watch

Wolves' Fer López has been their standout attacking contributor, with 4 goals and 2 assists in just 7 matches. He's clearly been central to whatever they've created going forward this season.

Wolves:

Best scorers:

Fer López - 4

Best assist providers:

Fer López - 2

Derby:

Best assist providers:

B. Clark - 2

For Derby, B. Clark has chipped in with 2 assists in 8 matches, which is useful creative output from a side that's struggled to score overall.