Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Two different pictures in recent matches

Villarreal's broader form sample, which stretches across league, cup and pre-season fixtures, shows a mixed bag: 8 wins and 8 losses from 20 matches, with 39 goals scored. That included a Champions League win away at Dortmund and a couple of tighter La Liga losses to Betis and Malaga.

Valencia: 20 completed matches; Villarreal: 20 completed matches.

Valencia

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

31

Difference

-7

Villarreal

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

39

Conceded

31

Difference

+8

Valencia's equivalent sample leans more negative, with 10 losses from 20 and only 24 goals scored. Their most recent league outing was a heavy 0-5 defeat to Barcelona, followed by a narrow win over Sevilla and defeats to Alaves and Real Sociedad.

Villarreal's recent matches suggest more attacking threat than Valencia have managed.

Comparative Team Statistics: Valencia vs Villarreal

Villarreal have had the better of this fixture lately

Across the recorded meetings between these two, Villarreal have won more often than not, including both of the last two head-to-heads. They won 2-1 at home in February and followed that up with a 2-0 away win at Valencia in October last year.

It's a long history stretching back several seasons, so it's not a guarantee of anything at the next meeting, but the recent pattern is clear enough.

A big gap in the table already

Villarreal sit 9th with 8 points from 7 games, having lost just three times. Valencia are down in 19th with only 4 points from the same number of matches, with a single win to their name.

The goal numbers tell their own story. Valencia have scored just 4 goals in 7 league games and conceded 13, while Villarreal have a healthier 13 for and 12 against.

Valencia's early-season struggles in front of goal stand out as much as their results.

Villarreal's goals are shared around

The player data we have covers Villarreal only. P. Gueye has 3 goals in 7 matches this season, while Alberto Moleiro has chipped in with 2 goals and 3 assists in the same span. Ayoze Pérez has added 2 assists too.

Villarreal:

Best scorers:

P. Gueye - 3

Alberto Moleiro - 2

Best assist providers:

Alberto Moleiro - 3

Ayoze Pérez - 2

There's no comparable breakdown for Valencia's individual contributors here, so we can't say much about who's carrying their attacking load.

What the numbers suggest heading into this one

Put the table, the recent form and the head-to-head together and Villarreal look the stronger side on paper right now. They've scored more, conceded less, and beaten Valencia in their last two meetings.

That said, this fixture is still a month away. Both sides have time to shift their form, and a 7-game league sample this early in the season can move quickly in either direction.