Tottenham vs Fulham Prediction

Two different recent runs

Tottenham's last 20 matches across competitions show nine wins, six draws and five defeats, with 30 goals scored and 21 conceded. That's a decent conversion rate and a defence that hasn't been easy to break down.

Tottenham: 20 completed matches; Fulham: 20 completed matches.

Tottenham

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

21

Difference

+9

Fulham

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

25

Conceded

23

Difference

+2

Fulham's equivalent run reads seven wins, six draws and seven losses, with 25 goals for and 23 against. It's a far more even spread of results, and their Premier League form specifically has included defeats to Coventry and Ipswich alongside a battling draw at Aston Villa.

Spurs have been the more reliable side lately, but Fulham haven't been far off it in isolated games.

Comparative Team Statistics: Tottenham vs Fulham

History hasn't been one-sided

Looking at the last five meetings between these two, the results have gone back and forth. Fulham won 2-1 at home in March 2026, Tottenham won 2-1 at home the previous November, and Fulham actually won 2-0 and 3-0 in two other recent fixtures.

So despite Tottenham's stronger current position, this isn't a fixture where one side has dominated lately. Fulham have shown they can trouble Spurs even without matching them in the table.

Recent head-to-head results suggest this fixture has been closer than the current standings imply.

League table gap

Tottenham sit eighth with 12 points from nine games, built on three wins, three draws and three losses. Fulham are down in 15th on nine points, having won only two of their nine matches so far.

The gap is six points, which isn't huge at this stage, but Fulham's defensive numbers, 11 conceded in nine games, are a concern against a Spurs side scoring at a decent rate at home this term.

A yellow card issue to watch

Fulham's T. Castagne has picked up two yellow cards in his last five appearances, which is worth keeping an eye on given how quickly suspensions can build up over a busy run of fixtures.

Fulham:

Penalty cards:

T. Castagne x 2

That's the only specific player note we have here, so it doesn't tell us much about the wider squad, but it's a small disciplinary flag on Fulham's side heading toward this game.

How this one might play out

Tottenham's home scoring record this season, combined with their steadier recent form, points toward them creating plenty at home. Fulham's away form has included enough defeats to suggest they could struggle to contain that.

At the same time, Fulham's six draws in their last 20 games show they're capable of digging in when needed, and their head-to-head record against Spurs hasn't been nearly as one-sided as the league positions suggest.