Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Sunderland's wider sample of 20 matches, spanning the Premier League, Europa League, League Cup and friendlies, shows 10 wins, three draws and seven losses, with 28 goals scored and 25 conceded. That's a fairly balanced return, even if the opposition varies hugely — a 5-3 away day at Manchester City sits next to a goalless draw with Leeds and a narrow loss to Brighton.

Sunderland: 20 completed matches; Jagiellonia: 20 completed matches.

Sunderland

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

25

Difference

+3

Jagiellonia

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

28

Difference

+5

Jagiellonia's equivalent sample is more lopsided. They've also won 10 of 20, but they've lost nine, with 33 scored and 28 conceded. They can clearly put goals in, thumping Suduva 5-0 and beating Rangers and FC Iberia 1999 in Europe, but they've also lost repeatedly in the Ekstraklasa, including defeats to Legia Warszawa, Gornik Zabrze and a 2-5 hammering at Rakow Czestochowa, plus a 0-3 home loss to Anderlecht in this competition.

Jagiellonia's defensive record looks the shakier of the two coming into this trip.

Comparative Team Statistics: Sunderland vs Jagiellonia

Early days in the league phase

The table here only covers these two clubs, so it's not the full Europa League standings, but it gives a snapshot. Sunderland sit in 9th with six points from two games, both wins, scoring three and conceding just one. Jagiellonia are down in 17th on three points from two games, one win and one loss, with a slightly more open goal record of four for and three against.

It's only two matches each, so these positions could shift quickly either way over the rest of the league phase.

A few names to watch for Jagiellonia

The squad information we have leans towards the visitors. K. Szmyt is listed as their top scorer but with just one goal in five matches, which suggests goals haven't been coming from one clear focal point. N. Prelec has a single assist in the same number of games, so the creative output looks fairly thin on this sample too.

Jagiellonia:

Best scorers:

K. Szmyt - 1

Best assist providers:

N. Prelec - 1

Penalty cards:

Bernardo Vital x 2

Bernardo Vital has picked up two yellow cards in four matches, which is worth keeping an eye on from a discipline point of view, though it doesn't tell us anything about his likely involvement here.

How this could play out

Sunderland have the tidier recent record and the better start in this league phase, plus home advantage. Their Europa League form specifically has been mixed though — a home win over AZ Alkmaar, a draw away at Lech Poznan, and a loss at Torreense — so it's not been plain sailing in Europe either.

Jagiellonia will arrive having shown they can trouble decent opposition, beating Rangers and FC Iberia 1999 along the way, but their overall loss count this sample is high. If their defensive issues travel with them, Sunderland's home platform could be enough, but nothing here points to a one-sided certainty.