Shrewsbury vs Gillingham Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Shrewsbury's last 20 matches have brought just 4 wins against 8 defeats, and they've shipped 27 goals in that spell while scoring only 17. That's a side struggling to find consistency in either box.

Shrewsbury: 20 completed matches; Gillingham: 20 completed matches.

Shrewsbury

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

17

Conceded

28

Difference

-11

Gillingham

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

31

Difference

-4

Gillingham's record over the same length of sample is better on paper, 8 wins and 8 losses from 20, with 25 scored and 30 conceded. They've had some big results both ways, including a 6-2 win and a couple of heavy defeats, so they're far from watertight themselves.

Gillingham have won more often lately, but neither side has looked settled defensively.

Comparative Team Statistics: Shrewsbury vs Gillingham

A long rivalry that's often been tight

These two have met plenty of times down the years, stretching back over a decade of League One and League Two fixtures. A lot of those games have finished level or been settled by a single goal.

The two most recent meetings sum that up nicely: Gillingham won 1-0 away back in May, but before that the sides drew 3-3 at Shrewsbury. History here doesn't point to one team dominating.

Even with Shrewsbury struggling this season, this fixture has a habit of being closer than the league table might suggest.

The table backs up Gillingham's edge

Gillingham are 8th with 12 points from 8 games, having scored 11 and conceded 9. Shrewsbury are down in 18th with just 8 points from the same number of matches, conceding 13 while scoring only 7.

That's a notable gap this early in the season, and it lines up with the goal difference each side has shown in their longer form sample too.

What we know about the squads

On the Gillingham side, J. Brophy has 3 goals in 8 matches and N. Freeman has chipped in with 3 assists over the same run, so there's some creative output to watch. R. McKenzie has picked up 4 yellow cards in 8 games, and Z. Albarus was sent off in a single appearance, which is worth bearing in mind for discipline.

Gillingham:

Best scorers:

J. Brophy - 3

Best assist providers:

N. Freeman - 3

Penalty cards:

Z. Albarus x 1 x 1

R. McKenzie x 4

There's no equivalent player data available for Shrewsbury here, so we can't make the same kind of individual comparison for the home side.