SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips

Form: Hamburg's defence is the story

Paderborn have picked up four points from their first four league games this season: a win, a draw, and two defeats. They beat Hoffenheim 3-1 at home but lost 0-3 at Dortmund and 0-1 to Freiburg on their own ground, so even their home form hasn't been perfect.

SC Paderborn 07: 20 completed matches; Hamburger SV: 20 completed matches.

SC Paderborn 07

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

30

Difference

+7

Hamburger SV

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

29

Conceded

41

Difference

-12

Hamburg have had it worse. They've lost three of their four league games, including a 5-0 defeat away at Leipzig and a 0-5 home loss to Mainz. Their only win came 2-1 over Köln. Conceding thirteen goals in four matches is a serious concern for any side.

That defensive record is the number that stands out most heading into this one.

Comparative Team Statistics: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

Head-to-head: mostly second-tier meetings

These two have met plenty of times down the years, but almost all of it came in the 2. Bundesliga rather than the top flight. The most recent meeting, in March 2025, saw Paderborn win 2-0 at home in that competition.

That history doesn't say much about how either side performs in the Bundesliga now, given both have only just returned to this level.

Standings: both sides in the bottom half

After four games, Paderborn sit twelfth with four points, while Hamburg are down in sixteenth with three. It's an early snapshot rather than a settled picture of where either side belongs this season.

Four games in, there's not much separating the two sides on paper despite Hamburg's heavier goal difference.

Key player statistics: SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV:

Best assist providers:

A. Grønbæk - 2