Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips

Real Madrid's scoring run against Sevilla's mixed away trips

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have won 15, drawn 2 and lost just 3, scoring 44 goals along the way. That sample includes pre-season friendlies as well as league and Champions League games, so it's a broad picture rather than a pure league read, but the pattern of winning regularly holds up. Their two most recent league defeats came away at Real Betis and away at Atletico Madrid, both tricky trips, sandwiched around wins over Espanyol, Real Sociedad, Malaga, Rayo Vallecano and a 3-2 win at Elche.

Real Madrid: 20 completed matches; Sevilla: 20 completed matches.

Real Madrid

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

44

Conceded

19

Difference

+25

Sevilla

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

21

Difference

+3

Sevilla's equivalent record is 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 20, with 24 goals for and 21 against, again spanning friendlies and league fixtures. Their recent league form specifically has actually been decent: wins over Rayo Vallecano, Athletic Club, Valencia and Deportivo, plus a draw at Espanyol. Their two losses in that stretch came against Atletico Madrid and Barcelona, both away from home to strong opposition.

Sevilla's away form isn't as fragile as the overall win-loss split suggests, though they've struggled against the very best sides.

Comparative Team Statistics: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Recent meetings have gone almost entirely Real Madrid's way

Looking back over the last 20 meetings between these two, Real Madrid have dominated recent history. They've won six of the last seven, including a 1-0 win at Sevilla back in May and a 2-0 home win in December. The only blemish in that run was a 1-1 draw in October 2023. Further back there are some heavy Real Madrid wins too, including a 5-0 and a 4-1.

Sevilla haven't beaten Real Madrid in any of the recorded recent meetings, which is a notable trend even allowing for how far back some of this history goes.

Close in the table, less close on goal difference

Real Madrid currently sit fourth with 15 points from seven games, having won five, drawn none and lost two, with 18 scored and just 8 conceded. Sevilla are fifth on 13 points from the same number of games, four wins, a draw and two losses, with 10 scored and 9 conceded. The points gap is small, just two, but Real Madrid's goal difference is considerably healthier.

Mbappé firing early, cards piling up for Sevilla

Kylian Mbappé has scored seven goals in seven matches so far this season for Real Madrid, with Jude Bellingham adding three and Vinicius Junior leading the assist charts with three. That's a strong early-season scoring rate to build a game plan around.

Real Madrid:

Best scorers:

Kylian Mbappé - 7

J. Bellingham - 3

Best assist providers:

Vinícius Júnior - 3

Kylian Mbappé - 2

J. Bellingham - 2

Penalty cards:

D. Huijsen x 1

Sevilla:

Penalty cards:

Kike Salas x 1 x 1

A. Sangante x 1

On the disciplinary side, Sevilla's Isaac has picked up four yellow cards in six matches, and both Kike Salas and A. Sangante have already been sent off once this season. Real Madrid's Dean Huijsen has also seen red once, with Ibrahima Konate booked three times. None of this confirms who's available for this particular fixture, but it does suggest both squads have had some edgy moments this season.