Newport County vs Swindon Town Prediction

Recent Form

Newport's last 20 matches across competitions have been draw-heavy, six wins and ten draws against just five defeats, which points to a side that rarely gets blown away but also struggles to kill games off.

Newport County: 20 completed matches; Swindon Town: 20 completed matches.

Newport County

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

28

Conceded

29

Difference

-1

Swindon Town

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

33

Difference

-9

Swindon's record over the same stretch reads very differently: six wins, three draws and eleven losses, with more goals conceded than scored. Their league form in particular has been patchy, with narrow defeats mixed in among a few convincing wins.

Newport's habit of drawing games suggests this is more likely to be tight than one-sided.

Comparative Team Statistics: Newport County vs Swindon Town

Head-to-Head

These two have met plenty of times down the years, and the results are fairly evenly spread rather than leaning heavily one way. The most recent clash came in September's EFL Trophy, which Newport won away at Swindon.

In League Two specifically, last season's two meetings went one each, Swindon winning at home in February and Newport winning on the road the previous autumn.

Where They Sit

Newport are 11th with 14 points from 11 games, built on three wins, five draws and three defeats. Swindon are down in 18th on 12 points from the same number of matches, with three wins, three draws and five losses.

Newport have also conceded two fewer goals than Swindon while scoring four more, which lines up with the overall picture of a steadier side.

The table gap mirrors the form guide, with Newport looking the more settled of the two.

Players to Watch

Newport's S. Gwengwe has five goals in eight matches, exactly matching Swindon's A. Drinan over the same number of games, so both attacks have a reliable focal point.

Newport County:

Best scorers:

S. Gwengwe - 5

Best assist providers:

H. Biggins - 2

C. Doidge - 2

Swindon Town:

Best scorers:

A. Drinan - 5

Penalty cards:

M. Clark x 1 x 1

Newport have shared the creative load too, with H. Biggins and C. Doidge both chipping in two assists apiece. On the disciplinary side, Swindon's M. Clark has already picked up a red card in six matches, which is worth bearing in mind.

How It Might Play Out

Put the draw-heavy Newport form together with a head-to-head record that's split down the middle, and this has the look of a cagey contest rather than a one-sided one.

Swindon's shakier away form and leakier defence make it hard to see them dictating things, but their recent habit of losing by the odd goal suggests they won't be brushed aside easily either.