Nashville SC vs Toronto FC Prediction, 27 Sep 2026

Nashville SC host Toronto FC in Major League Soccer. Nashville have been the form team of the league all year, while Toronto have struggled for any real consistency.

The two sides actually met just a few weeks back in Toronto, so there's a recent head-to-head to lean on. Nashville do go into this one without a few key faces, though, which adds a bit of doubt to how straightforward this looks.

Analysis updated 26 Sep 2026, 16:01 UTC.

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Home strength against away struggles

Nashville's home record this season reads 11 wins, four draws and five losses from 20, with 37 scored and only 20 conceded. That's a properly settled side on their own patch.

Nashville SC: 20 completed matches; Toronto FC: 20 completed matches.

Nashville SC

20 matches

Win: 55% 11 / 20
Draw: 20% 4 / 20
Loss: 25% 5 / 20

Scored: 37
Conceded: 20
Difference: +17

Toronto FC

20 matches

Win: 15% 3 / 20
Draw: 45% 9 / 20
Loss: 40% 8 / 20

Scored: 30
Conceded: 41
Difference: -11

Nashville SC
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Chicago Fire	20.09.2026	3-0
Major League Soccer	Inter Miami	Nashville SC	13.09.2026	2-2
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	10.09.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	New York City FC	Nashville SC	05.09.2026	0-0
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	FC Cincinnati	30.08.2026	4-0
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Columbus Crew	23.08.2026	3-2
Major League Soccer	New York Red Bulls	Nashville SC	20.08.2026	0-1
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Inter Miami	16.08.2026	4-1
Leagues Cup	Monterrey	Nashville SC	13.08.2026	2-1
Leagues Cup	Nashville SC	Atletico San Luis	10.08.2026	4-1

Toronto FC
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	St. Louis City	Toronto FC	20.09.2026	3-1
Major League Soccer	Orlando City SC	Toronto FC	13.09.2026	3-0
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	10.09.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Chicago Fire	06.09.2026	4-4
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	New York City FC	30.08.2026	1-1
Major League Soccer	Inter Miami	Toronto FC	23.08.2026	1-2
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Charlotte	20.08.2026	3-3
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	New England Revolution	16.08.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	New York City FC	Toronto FC	01.08.2026	1-1
Major League Soccer	DC United	Toronto FC	26.07.2026	2-1

Toronto's away form is the opposite story. Three wins, nine draws and eight losses from 20 games, shipping 41 goals in the process. Plenty of points dropped, and not many wins to show for it.

Toronto's away form suggests they'll do well just to keep this tight.

A recent reminder not to write Toronto off completely

The last meeting came on 9 September, and Toronto actually won 2-1 away in Toronto. It's a reminder that recent form doesn't always predict the next result between these two.

Head 2 Head
League	Home	Away	Date	Score
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	10.09.2026	2-1
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Toronto FC	20.07.2025	1-0
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	25.05.2025	1-2
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	20.06.2024	1-2
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Toronto FC	16.05.2024	2-0
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	11.06.2023	1-1
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Toronto FC	09.04.2023	0-0
Major League Soccer	Nashville SC	Toronto FC	07.08.2022	3-4
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	19.09.2021	2-1
Major League Soccer	Toronto FC	Nashville SC	02.08.2021	1-1

Looking further back, the head-to-head is fairly mixed over the past few seasons. There have been wins at both ends and a handful of tight draws, so history alone doesn't strongly favour either side.

Table gap is significant

Nashville sit top of the table with 57 points from 26 games. Toronto are down in 12th with 29 points from the same number of matches.

№	Team	Played	Win	Draw	Loss	GF/GA	Points
Eastern Conference
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53/21	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45/33	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63/48	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47/37	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45/38	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50/42	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46/60	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34/48	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54/61	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39/34	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31/39	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39/49	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37/42	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30/43	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31/53	21

The goal difference tells a similar story: Nashville have scored 53 and conceded 21, while Toronto have conceded 49 against 39 scored. That's a big gap in overall output.

Absences on both sides

Nashville are without several players on international duty, including Qasem, Schwake, Valdez and Yazbek, and Madrigal is out with a lower-body injury. Top scorer Surridge is also listed as questionable with illness, which is worth watching given he's scored 16 in 20 appearances this season.

Nashville SC:

Best scorers:

S. Surridge - 16

H. Mukhtar - 11

Best assist providers:

C. Espinoza - 10

Injury list:

S. Mohammed

X. Valdez

S. Surridge

R. Baker-Whiting

W. Madrigal

A. Qasem

B. Schwake

P. Yazbek

Toronto FC:

Penalty cards:

W. Zimmerman red card

x 1

x 5

R. Edwards red card

x 1

x 3

Injury list:

R. Chukwu

M. Cimermancic

B. Kuscevic

R. Laryea

D. Mihailovic

N. Palacio

W. Zimmerman

Toronto have their own gaps too. Chukwu, Cimermancic, Kuscevic and Laryea are away on international duty, Mihailovic and Palacio are out injured, and Zimmerman misses out through yellow card accumulation.

If Surridge doesn't play, Mukhtar's goals become even more important for Nashville up top.

Match odds and squad lists

MATCH RESULT (1x2)

W1: 1.4

Х: 5

W2: 7.5

Handicap

Nashville SC

Toronto FC

Handicap (-3.5): 6.55

Handicap (-3.5): 1.05

Handicap (-3.25): 6.40

Handicap (-3.25): 1.12

Handicap (-3): 5.90

Handicap (-3): 1.13

Handicap (-2.75): 4.25

Handicap (-2.75): 1.21

Handicap (-2.5): 3.45

Handicap (-2.5): 1.30

Handicap (-2.25): 3.10

Handicap (-2.25): 1.35

Handicap (-2): 2.75

Handicap (-2): 1.42

Handicap (-1.75): 2.35

Handicap (-1.75): 1.58

Handicap (-1.5): 2.05

Handicap (-1.5): 1.75

Handicap (-1.25): 1.80

Handicap (-1.25): 2.00

Handicap (-1): 1.60

Handicap (-1): 2.30

Handicap (-0.75): 1.48

Handicap (-0.75): 2.60

Handicap (-0.5): 1.40

Handicap (-0.5): 2.85

Handicap (-0.25): 1.26

Handicap (-0.25): 3.70

Handicap (0): 1.14

Handicap (0): 5.75

Handicap (0.25): 1.12

Handicap (0.25): 6.25

Handicap (0.5): 1.10

Handicap (0.5): 6.80

Handicap (1.5): 1.02

Handicap (1.5): 12.00

Total

Over

Under

Over (0.5): 1.02

Under (0.5): 19.00

Over (1.5): 1.12

Under (1.5): 6.00

Over (1.75): 1.10

Under (1.75): 5.00

Over (2): 1.13

Under (2): 4.55

Over (2.25): 1.27

Under (2.25): 3.14

Over (2.5): 1.44

Under (2.5): 2.70

Over (2.75): 1.49

Under (2.75): 2.30

Over (3): 1.64

Under (3): 2.04

Over (3.25): 1.86

Under (3.25): 1.80

Over (3.5): 2.10

Under (3.5): 1.67

Over (3.75): 2.38

Under (3.75): 1.49

Over (4): 2.88

Under (4): 1.33

Over (4.25): 3.14

Under (4.25): 1.27

Over (4.5): 3.50

Under (4.5): 1.28

Over (4.75): 4.25

Under (4.75): 1.15

Over (5): 5.70

Under (5): 1.08

Over (5.25): 6.05

Under (5.25): 1.06

Over (5.5): 6.50

Under (5.5): 1.11

Over (6.5): 13.00

Under (6.5): 1.04

Over (7.5): 26.00

Under (7.5): 1.01

Over (8.5): 51.00

More odds

Squad and player details

Nashville SC
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
A. Najar	Honduras	33	Defender	170	69
J. Palacios	Colombia	32	Defender	186	75
H. Mukhtar	Germany	31	Midfielder	173	72
S. Surridge	England	28	Attacker	191	77
D. Lovitz	USA	35	Defender	178	77
A. Muyl	USA	31	Midfielder	180	79
J. Willis	USA	38	Goalkeeper	195	86
B. Acosta	Honduras	32	Midfielder	175	80
C. Espinoza	Argentina	31	Attacker	175	73
J. Gaines	USA	23	Defender	178	73
J. Maher	USA	26	Defender	188	79
M. Woledzi	Ghana	25	Defender	190	n/a
E. Tagseth	Norway	25	Midfielder	171	67
T. Williams	USA	22	Defender	191	77
A. Qasem	Sweden	23	Attacker	183	72
R. Baker-Whiting	USA	21	Defender	180	70
B. Schwake	USA	25	Goalkeeper	189	79
P. Yazbek	Australia	24	Midfielder	183	78
W. Madrigal	Costa Rica	22	Attacker	185	74
J. Bauer	USA	28	Defender	185	79

Toronto FC
Name	Country	Age	Position	Height	Weight
B. Kuscevic	Chile	30	Defender	186	76
J. Cifuentes	Ecuador	27	Midfielder	178	70
L. Morgan	Scotland	30	Attacker	178	75
N. Dorsch	Germany	28	Midfielder	178	76
J. Sargent	USA	26	Attacker	185	79
W. Yarbrough	USA	37	Goalkeeper	187	73
R. Laryea	Canada	31	Defender	175	68
J. Osorio	Canada	34	Midfielder	175	69
R. Edwards	Canada	31	Defender	173	68
D. Mihailović	USA	27	Attacker	177	70
D. Etienne	Haiti	29	Attacker	178	77
W. Zimmerman	USA	33	Defender	191	89
H. Wingo	USA	31	Defender	183	77
D. Sallói	Hungary	30	Midfielder	185	70
Matheus Pereira	Brazil	25	Defender	172	68
K. Franklin	Canada	23	Defender	168	69
D. Kerr	Canada	23	Attacker	180	81
T. Corbeanu	Canada	24	Attacker	190	83
Z. Monlouis	England	22	Defender	185	75
K. Thompson	Canada	23	Defender	178	79

Put together, the underlying numbers point clearly towards Nashville. They're the form side, sit well clear at the top of the table, and have been reliable at home all year.

The one thing that keeps this from being a completely straightforward pick is the uncertainty around Surridge and the fact Toronto have form for springing a surprise against this exact opponent. Still, on balance, Nashville's overall body of work this season carries more weight than one recent result.