Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli's up-and-down run against Monza's patchy home form

Napoli's last twenty matches, spanning the back end of last season, pre-season friendlies and the start of this campaign, read 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. That includes a comfortable 1-0 over Bologna, a 1-1 at Fiorentina, but also a Champions League home defeat to Arsenal and a 3-2 loss at Inter. It's a squad juggling different competitions, and the results reflect that.

Monza: 20 completed matches; Napoli: 20 completed matches.

Monza

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

39

Difference

-2

Napoli

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

20

Difference

+14

Monza's own sample of twenty games covers their Serie B promotion run as well as this season's Serie A fixtures. They've also gone 10-4-6 over that stretch, with 38 goals for and 31 against. More recently they beat Sassuolo 2-1 at home but lost 4-1 at Inter and 2-3 to Udinese, so goals have flowed at both ends of their matches.

Both sides have been streaky rather than settled, home or away.

Comparative Team Statistics: Monza vs Napoli

Recent head-to-head leans Napoli's way

Napoli have won four of the last six meetings between these two, including a 1-0 away win in April 2025 and a 4-0 home win back in 2022. Monza's only win in this set came at home in May 2023, a 2-0 result, with one goalless draw also on record.

It's worth remembering this history stretches back a few seasons and doesn't reflect either side's current form directly, but Napoli's overall record in the fixture is the stronger one.

Where they stand this season

In the current Serie A table, Napoli sit ninth with seven points from five games, having scored seven and conceded six. Monza are down in sixteenth with four points from the same number of matches, with eight scored and twelve conceded.

It's an early-season snapshot rather than a settled picture, but it does show Napoli with the healthier points return and Monza still working out how to keep games tight.

Monza's key men so far

Gustavo Varela has been Monza's most productive attacker, with four goals in four matches this season. Ricardo Mangas and S. Birindelli have each chipped in two assists, showing where some of the creative supply is coming from.

Monza:

Best scorers:

Gustavo Varela - 4

Best assist providers:

Ricardo Mangas - 2

S. Birindelli - 2

Penalty cards:

L. Lucchesi x 2

E. Kouadio x 2

On discipline, both L. Lucchesi and E. Kouadio have picked up two yellow cards apiece in five matches, worth keeping an eye on given how quickly bookings can add up over a season. No equivalent player data is available for Napoli here.

How it might play out

Napoli's away form this season has ranged from routine wins to heavier defeats, and their fixture list has included Champions League football alongside the league, which can affect squad freshness. Monza, at home, have conceded goals in most of their recent matches but have also found the net regularly themselves.

Given both teams' tendency to be involved in games with goals at both ends recently, and Napoli's stronger head-to-head and league position, this looks like a contest where clean sheets might be hard to come by for either side.