Monza vs AC Milan Prediction

Neither side is flying right now

Milan's overall record over their last 20 matches reads 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, which sounds steady enough. But the recent run tells a different story: losses to Inter, Bologna, Udinese and Atalanta, plus a heavy defeat away at Red Bull Salzburg, all inside the space of a few weeks.

Monza: 20 completed matches; AC Milan: 20 completed matches.

Monza

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

40

Difference

-3

AC Milan

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

37

Conceded

31

Difference

+6

Monza's numbers are shakier still, with 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses from their last 20 outings. Their recent matches have mostly gone against them too, including defeats to Bologna, Napoli and Torino, though a comfortable 4-0 win over Cagliari shows they can still turn it on.

Both teams have had more bad weeks than good ones lately, so neither arrives with real confidence.

Comparative Team Statistics: Monza vs AC Milan

History favours Milan heavily

Looking back over the last several meetings between these two, Milan have won the majority, including a 4-2 and two separate 4-1 scorelines. Monza's only win in the sample came at home in November 2024, a 1-0 scrappy result.

That head-to-head record stretches back to 2020 though, and covers different squads and different moments for both clubs. It tells us Milan have generally had the upper hand, but it's not a reliable guide to how either side is actually playing right now.

Milan's historical dominance is worth noting, but it sits awkwardly alongside their recent poor form.

Not much to go on for team news

The only player information available points to Monza, where Gustavo Varela has scored twice in a single match and Pietro Cutrone has two assists across two appearances. That's a promising short burst, though it's too small a sample to call either player a guaranteed threat.

Monza:

Best scorers:

Gustavo Varela - 2

Best assist providers:

P. Cutrone - 2

There's nothing here on Milan's side, so we can't say much about their personnel heading into this one.

A cup tie that could go either way

Coppa Italia fixtures don't always follow league logic, and both teams have shown they can beat decent opposition and lose to lesser sides within the same few weeks. Milan's Europa League commitments and Monza's own mixed cup form this season add another layer of unpredictability.

Given how inconsistent both have been recently, this looks like one of those matches where recent league form only tells part of the story.