Madagascar vs Tanzania Prediction & Betting Tips

A mixed bag of results for both sides

Madagascar's last 15 matches, spread across friendlies, COSAFA Cup and qualifying, show three wins, four draws and eight losses, with 16 goals scored and 24 conceded. That's a side that has struggled for consistency and has leaked goals fairly freely.

Madagascar: 15 completed matches; Tanzania: 20 completed matches.

Madagascar

15 matches

Win

20% 3 / 15

Draw

26.7% 4 / 15

Loss

53.3% 8 / 15

Scored

16

Conceded

24

Difference

-8

Tanzania

20 matches

Win

35% 7 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

22

Conceded

23

Difference

-1

Tanzania's sample is wider, 20 matches in total, and shows seven wins, three draws and ten losses, with 22 scored and 23 conceded. It's not a dominant record either, but the win rate is a touch better than Madagascar's, even accounting for the fact both samples include friendlies and continental tournaments rather than just qualifiers.

Neither team has been in commanding form, but Tanzania's overall return edges it.

Comparative Team Statistics: Madagascar vs Tanzania

Recent meetings have favoured Tanzania

The last four meetings between these two include two wins for Tanzania in 2025 alone, a 2-1 in the African Nations Championship and a 1-0 in the COSAFA Cup. Further back, a 2021 World Cup qualifier also went Tanzania's way, 3-2, with the other meeting from that year finishing level.

So in the four recorded meetings, Tanzania have won three and drawn one, without a loss to Madagascar in that stretch.

History leans towards Tanzania, though it's not a huge sample and conditions vary by competition.

Where they sit in qualifying

In the current qualifying group, Tanzania are third with seven points from five games, two wins, a draw and two losses. Madagascar sit fourth with just two points from six games, no wins, two draws and four losses.

Madagascar have also conceded eight goals in those six qualifiers against four scored, which points to defensive issues that have run through their broader form too.

Tanzania have the better points return and games in hand relative to results, while Madagascar are still searching for their first qualifying win.

How this might play out

Put it together and Tanzania arrive with the stronger recent qualifying record, the head-to-head edge, and a defence that's held up a little better than Madagascar's. Madagascar, at home and needing points badly given their position, have shown they can be open at the back, conceding regularly across recent qualifiers and friendlies alike.

That said, Madagascar have also drawn plenty of games rather than lost outright, so a tight, low-scoring affair with chances at both ends wouldn't be a shock either.

Key player statistics: Madagascar vs Tanzania

Madagascar:

Best assist providers:

R. Ponti - 1

Penalty cards:

N. Fontaine x 1