Lyon vs Lillestrom Prediction

Recent form tells two different stories

Lyon have won 10 of their last 20 matches across all competitions, losing seven and drawing three, with 34 goals scored and 28 conceded. Looking at the sequence, they lost away at Lens in early October, bounced back with home wins over Crystal Palace and Nice, then slipped to back-to-back away defeats at Hoffenheim and PSG in their last two outings.

Lyon: 20 completed matches; Lillestrom: 20 completed matches.

Lyon

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

34

Conceded

28

Difference

+6

Lillestrom

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

27

Conceded

36

Difference

-9

Lillestrom's record over the same stretch is more uneven: eight wins, four draws and eight losses from 20 games, with 27 scored and 36 conceded. Their last five swung from draws against Molde and Sparta Praha, to an away win at Sandefjord, then a heavy 0-6 home defeat to Real Sociedad in the Europa League, before a 3-2 home win over Brann put them back on track domestically.

Both sides have conceded regularly in recent weeks, Lyon in their last two games and Lillestrom throughout the sample, so a tight, low-scoring night doesn't look like the obvious outcome.

Comparative Team Statistics: Lyon vs Lillestrom

Where they sit in the league phase

In the Europa League's own league phase table, Lyon are eighth with six points from their two games, having won both while scoring five and conceding three. Lillestrom sit well down in 23rd with just one point from two games, a draw and a defeat, having scored twice and conceded three.

A good start in a league phase can shift quickly once more fixtures are played, so this early snapshot shouldn't be treated as settled.

Notes from the player data

The limited player information available shows Lillestrom's Vá with one assist from three appearances, and Lyon's M. Ouédraogo chipping in with an assist from his single recorded game. F. Gulbrandsen has also picked up two yellow cards in three matches for Lillestrom, which is worth flagging purely from a discipline angle.

Lyon:

Best assist providers:

M. Ouédraogo - 1

Lillestrom:

Best assist providers:

Vá - 1

Penalty cards:

F. Gulbrandsen x 2

None of this points to confirmed absences for either side, just a few recent contributions and a card count to keep an eye on.

How this one could unfold

Lyon will want to end a two-match losing run once this fixture comes around, even though they currently sit comfortably after winning their opening two league phase games. Lillestrom, despite their lowly position in that same table, have shown they can find goals away from home, as the win at Sandefjord demonstrated, but the 0-6 defeat to Real Sociedad is a reminder of how exposed they can look in continental away trips.

With both teams leaking goals in recent matches, an open contest with chances at both ends seems more likely than a cagey, tight affair.