Luxembourg host Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League. Both nations have had a stop-start year, mixing decent results with some rough patches rather than settling into any clear run of form.
The unusual bit here is timing. These two only played each other a matter of days ago, with Luxembourg winning away in Bulgaria. Now they do it all again, this time with the venue flipped.
Analysis updated .
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Recent form: two sides going in different directions
Luxembourg have won three of their last seven, and the last two of those came against Bulgaria and Albania, both away from home. There were also home defeats to Italy and Slovenia in that same stretch, so their form at home hasn't been especially reliable.
Luxembourg: 7 completed matches; Bulgaria: 7 completed matches.
Luxembourg
- Win
- 42.9% 3 / 7
- Draw
- 14.3% 1 / 7
- Loss
- 42.8% 3 / 7
- Scored
- 5
- Conceded
- 6
- Difference
- -1
Bulgaria
- Win
- 28.6% 2 / 7
- Draw
- 28.6% 2 / 7
- Loss
- 42.8% 3 / 7
- Scored
- 16
- Conceded
- 13
- Difference
- +3
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 26.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Albania | Luxembourg | 06.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Italy | 03.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Rep. Of Ireland | 10.06.2025 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Slovenia | 06.06.2025 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Switzerland | Luxembourg | 25.03.2025 | 3-1 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Sweden | 22.03.2025 | 1-0 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 26.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Moldova | Bulgaria | 05.06.2026 | 2-2 |
| Friendlies | Bulgaria | Montenegro | 01.06.2026 | 0-1 |
| FIFA Series | Indonesia | Bulgaria | 30.03.2026 | 0-1 |
| FIFA Series | Solomon Islands | Bulgaria | 27.03.2026 | 2-10 |
| Friendlies | Greece | Bulgaria | 10.06.2025 | 4-0 |
| Friendlies | Bulgaria | Cyprus | 06.06.2025 | 2-2 |
Bulgaria's run reads two wins, two draws and three losses over the same period. One of the wins was a heavily one-sided scoreline against Solomon Islands, which flatters the goal numbers a bit. The losses to Montenegro, Greece and now Luxembourg suggest they've struggled against teams closer to their own level.
Luxembourg go into this with a little momentum from back-to-back wins, even if neither was especially convincing.
Comparative Team Statistics: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
A head-to-head that's stayed tight for years
These two met only days before this fixture, Luxembourg winning 2-1 away in Bulgaria on 26 September. That sits inside a longer record that's rarely swung heavily either way.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 26.09.2026 | 1-2 |
| UEFA Nations League | Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 15.11.2024 | 0-1 |
| UEFA Nations League | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 12.10.2024 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 20.11.2022 | 0-0 |
| World Cup - Qualification Europe | Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 10.10.2017 | 1-1 |
| World Cup - Qualification Europe | Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 06.09.2016 | 4-3 |
Looking further back, there have been three draws between the sides and wins shared fairly evenly, including a wild 4-3 Bulgaria home win back in 2016 and a narrow Luxembourg win in their previous Nations League meeting. Nothing in this history points to one side having a clear hold over the other.
The freshest result favours Luxembourg, but the wider pattern is one of tight, low-margin games.
An almost immediate rematch
What stands out is how quickly this fixture repeats itself. Luxembourg and Bulgaria played each other just over a week before this game, and now they meet again with home advantage switched to Luxembourg.
Bulgaria will want to put that defeat right, particularly given how inconsistent their form has been generally. Luxembourg have shown in this same run that they can lose at home too, so being the host side here doesn't automatically make them the stronger bet.
Key player statistics: Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sinani | Luxembourg | 29 | Attacker | 185 | 70 |
| V. Selimović | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 190 | 75 |
| L. Jans | Luxembourg | 34 | Defender | 175 | 72 |
| C. Martins | Luxembourg | 29 | Midfielder | 188 | 80 |
| V. Thill | Luxembourg | 26 | Midfielder | 175 | 69 |
| L. Barreiro | Luxembourg | 26 | Midfielder | 174 | 67 |
| E. Veiga | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 183 | 76 |
| M. Pinto | Luxembourg | 33 | Defender | 176 | 70 |
| A. Moris | Luxembourg | 36 | Goalkeeper | 186 | 75 |
| D. Carlson | Luxembourg | 28 | Defender | 186 | 80 |
| E. Mahmutović | Luxembourg | 29 | Defender | 190 | 83 |
| F. Bohnert | Luxembourg | 28 | Midfielder | 182 | 76 |
| S. Korač | Luxembourg | 24 | Defender | 188 | n/a |
| M. Martins | Luxembourg | 31 | Defender | 186 | 89 |
| S. Thill | Luxembourg | 32 | Midfielder | 178 | 70 |
| E. Muratović | Luxembourg | 29 | Attacker | 185 | 76 |
| Omar Natami | Italy | 27 | Attacker | ||
| L. Fox | Luxembourg | 26 | Goalkeeper | n/a | n/a |
| M. Olesen | Luxembourg | 25 | Midfielder | 187 | 83 |
| A. Curci | Luxembourg | 24 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Naumov | Bulgaria | 28 | Goalkeeper | 186 | n/a |
| I. Turitsov | Bulgaria | 27 | Defender | 170 | n/a |
| S. Ivanov | Bulgaria | 27 | Attacker | 177 | 70 |
| K. Dimitrov | Bulgaria | 29 | Defender | 189 | n/a |
| M. Minchev | Bulgaria | 25 | Attacker | 176 | 70 |
| D. Velkovski | Bulgaria | 31 | Defender | 185 | 68 |
| A. Chandarov | Bulgaria | 27 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Z. Dimitrov | Bulgaria | 28 | Midfielder | 180 | 71 |
| G. Rusev | Bulgaria | 28 | Midfielder | 177 | 73 |
| D. Mitov | Bulgaria | 29 | Goalkeeper | 188 | 76 |
| A. Hristov | Bulgaria | 27 | Defender | 192 cm | 80 kg |
| S. Velkov | Bulgaria | 29 | Defender | 192 | 85 |
| A. Kraev | Bulgaria | 27 | Midfielder | 194 | 82 |
| I. Gruev | Bulgaria | 26 | Midfielder | 185 | 72 |
| A. Chernev | Bulgaria | 24 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| L. Petkov | Bulgaria | 25 | Attacker | 183 | 76 |
| M. Petkov | Bulgaria | 23 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| D. Sheytanov | Bulgaria | 27 | Goalkeeper | 189 | n/a |
| Y. Stoyanov | Bulgaria | 25 | Midfielder | 180 | n/a |
| E. Tsenov | Bulgaria | 24 | Midfielder | 191 | n/a |
Nothing here points clearly to one side. Luxembourg's recent win over Bulgaria is the most current result, but the broader form and head-to-head pictures both suggest a close, hard-to-call game rather than a one-sided one.
With no strong edge to point to and no market on offer to weigh up, we're happy to leave this one alone and let it play out.
Who will win?
