Kazakhstan host Moldova in the UEFA Nations League. Kazakhstan have shown flashes of promise lately, beating weaker sides while losing to stronger ones, whereas Moldova have really struggled to put any kind of run together this year.
Analysis updated .
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Two very different recent runs
Kazakhstan's last nine matches show a mixed bag: three wins, two draws and four defeats, with the wins coming against lower-ranked sides like Comoros and Namibia. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away to the Faroe Islands in this same Nations League campaign, so they're unbeaten in two of their last three.
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Kazakhstan: 9 completed matches; Moldova: 7 completed matches.
Kazakhstan
- Win
- 33.3% 3 / 9
- Draw
- 22.2% 2 / 9
- Loss
- 44.5% 4 / 9
- Scored
- 9
- Conceded
- 12
- Difference
- -3
Moldova
- Win
- 0% 0 / 7
- Draw
- 28.6% 2 / 7
- Loss
- 71.4% 5 / 7
- Scored
- 6
- Conceded
- 14
- Difference
- -8
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Faroe Islands | Kazakhstan | 26.09.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Hungary | Kazakhstan | 09.06.2026 | 3-1 |
| Friendlies | Armenia | Kazakhstan | 06.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| FIFA Series | Kazakhstan | Comoros | 31.03.2026 | 1-0 |
| FIFA Series | Kazakhstan | Namibia | 25.03.2026 | 2-0 |
| Friendlies | Faroe Islands | Kazakhstan | 18.11.2025 | 1-0 |
| Friendlies | Belarus | Kazakhstan | 05.06.2025 | 4-1 |
| Friendlies | Kazakhstan | Curaçao | 19.03.2025 | 2-0 |
| Friendlies | Kazakhstan | North Korea | 17.02.2025 | 0-2 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Slovakia | Moldova | 26.09.2026 | 2-0 |
| Friendlies | Armenia | Moldova | 09.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Moldova | Bulgaria | 05.06.2026 | 2-2 |
| Friendlies | Cyprus | Moldova | 30.03.2026 | 3-2 |
| Friendlies | Moldova | Lithuania | 26.03.2026 | 0-2 |
| Friendlies | Romania | Moldova | 09.10.2025 | 2-1 |
| Friendlies | Poland | Moldova | 06.06.2025 | 2-0 |
Moldova's sample is a lot tougher reading. Seven matches without a single win, five defeats and two draws, shipping fourteen goals while scoring just six. Their most recent game was a 2-0 loss away at Slovakia, continuing a run that's shown no sign of turning.
Moldova's winless run stands out as the bigger concern heading into this one.
Comparative Team Statistics: Kazakhstan vs Moldova
An even head-to-head, but a dated one
These two have met three times, and it's basically split down the middle. Kazakhstan won a 2019 friendly at home, then the pair traded away wins during their 2022 Nations League meetings, Moldova winning in Kazakhstan and Kazakhstan winning in Moldova.
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | Kazakhstan | Moldova | 29.03.2022 | 0-1 |
| UEFA Nations League | Moldova | Kazakhstan | 24.03.2022 | 1-2 |
| Friendlies | Kazakhstan | Moldova | 21.02.2019 | 1-0 |
None of that tells us much about where either side is right now given how long ago it was, but it does show there's been little to separate them historically.
Early group table, one game in
Both teams have played just a single match in this Nations League group so far. Kazakhstan sit third with a point from their draw, while Moldova are fourth without any points after their opening defeat.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 3 | |||||||
| 1 | Slovakia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2/0 | 3 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 1 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 1 |
| 4 | Moldova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/2 | 0 |
It's far too early to read much into the table itself, but it does line up with the pattern from their broader recent form.
How this one could play out
Kazakhstan look the steadier of the two sides on paper, even if their own form has plenty of bumps in it. Playing at home against a Moldova team that hasn't won in seven attempts and is shipping goals freely should suit them.
That said, Kazakhstan have also lost fairly heavily to sides like Hungary and Belarus in this same run, so there's no guarantee they turn that home advantage into control of the game.
Match odds and squad lists
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Muzhikov | Kazakhstan | 37 | Midfielder | 168 | 65 |
| R. Karimov | Kazakhstan | 27 | Attacker | 190 | 81 |
| R. Murtazayev | Kazakhstan | 33 | Attacker | 187 | 80 |
| S. Pokatilov | Kazakhstan | 33 | Goalkeeper | 190 | 84 |
| T. Erlanov | Kazakhstan | 33 | Defender | 189 | 81 |
| S. Maliy | Kazakhstan | 36 | Defender | 191 | 79 |
| N. Alip | Kazakhstan | 26 | Defender | 188 | 84 |
| B. Islamkhan | Kazakhstan | 33 | Midfielder | 174 | 64 |
| I. Kuat | Kazakhstan | 33 | Midfielder | 179 | 69 |
| Y. Vorogovskiy | Kazakhstan | 30 | Defender | 182 | 75 |
| G. Zhukov | Kazakhstan | 31 | Midfielder | 172 | 76 |
| A. Marochkin | Kazakhstan | 36 | Defender | 189 | 87 |
| A. Tagybergen | Kazakhstan | 36 | Midfielder | 178 | 68 |
| A. Aymbetov | Kazakhstan | 31 | Attacker | 184 | 74 |
| M. Bystrov | Kazakhstan | 34 | Defender | 181 | 70 |
| A. Zhaksylykov | Kazakhstan | 29 | Attacker | 184 | 74 |
| S. Astanov | Kazakhstan | 27 | Defender | n/a | n/a |
| E. Astanov | Kazakhstan | 26 | Midfielder | 186 | 76 |
| R. Orazov | Kazakhstan | 28 | Midfielder | 176 | 74 |
| D. Karaman | Kazakhstan | 26 | Midfielder | 178 | 68 |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Nicolăescu | Moldova | 28 | Attacker | 184 | 77 |
| M. Caimacov | Moldova | 28 | Midfielder | 183 | 69 |
| V. Damaşcan | Moldova | 27 | Attacker | 180 | 75 |
| A. Ioniţă | Moldova | 36 | Midfielder | 186 | 75 |
| O. Reabciuk | Moldova | 28 | Defender | 180 | 72 |
| V. Raţă | Moldova | 33 | Midfielder | 173 | 64 |
| D. Celeadnic | Moldova | 34 | Goalkeeper | 192 | 79 |
| A. Crăciun | Moldova | 28 | Defender | 193 | 80 |
| V. Posmac | Moldova | 35 | Defender | 188 | 83 |
| S. Plătică | Moldova | 35 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| V. Baboglo | Moldova | 27 | Defender | 187 | 76 |
| A. Kozhukhar | Ukraine | 27 | Goalkeeper | 197 | 90 |
| A. Boiciuc | Moldova | 29 | Attacker | 191 | 82 |
| M. Cojocaru | Moldova | 28 | Attacker | 175 | n/a |
| I. Revenco | Moldova | 26 | Defender | 176 | 70 |
| N. Cebotari | Moldova | 29 | Goalkeeper | 184 | 75 |
| V. Stînă | Moldova | 28 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| V. Mudrac | Moldova | 32 | Defender | 184 | 77 |
| V. Bogaciuc | Moldova | 26 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| T. Lungu | Moldova | 31 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
Putting the pieces together, Kazakhstan look the more solid side on recent evidence, with Moldova's winless run and leaky defence working against them. The head-to-head record offers no real steer either way given its age.
Without a market to weigh up here, there's nothing concrete to recommend. The overall picture leans slightly towards Kazakhstan, but not by enough to call this one with any real conviction.
Match result odds
Who will win?
