Junior vs Deportivo Pasto Predictions and Match Preview

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On 04.05.2026, witness a compelling Colombia Primera A match between Junior and Deportivo Pasto. Junior is slightly favored, but Deportivo Pasto is ready to challenge every point. We provide a thorough breakdown of the teams, including tactical setups, key players, and recent form. Dive into our prediction for expert betting guidance.

Standings of both teams

Key Player Statistics: Junior vs Deportivo Pasto

Junior:

Best scorers:

L. Muriel - 8

Penalty cards:

J. Ríos x 6

Deportivo Pasto:

Best scorers:

A. Estupiñán - 12

Best assist providers:

A. Estupiñán - 3

Penalty cards:

S. Jiménez x 2 x 5

A. Estupiñán x 1 x 5

J. Caicedo x 7

Junior vs Deportivo Pasto Historical Match Results

Comparative Team Statistics: Junior VS Deportivo Pasto

Last 20 Matches Statistics: Junior vs Deportivo Pasto

Junior:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 50%

Draw: 15%

Loss: 35%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 28

Conceded: 24

Deportivo Pasto:

Win/Draw/Loss:

Win: 60%

Draw: 20%

Loss: 20%

Scored/Conceded:

Scored: 31

Conceded: 21

Bookies' predictions

Win
Junior

1.9

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Draw

3.35

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Win Deportivo Pasto

4.1

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Betting Intelligence: Junior vs Deportivo Pasto

Two teams separated by just two points in the Colombia Primera A table. One fixture that could reshape the entire title race. Junior vs Deportivo Pasto is exactly the kind of game that keeps fans up at night — and it should have bettors paying very close attention.

Junior sit third with 32 points from 18 games. Pasto are right above them in second with 34. This isn't just a local derby. This is a genuine six-pointer between two sides who both genuinely believe they can win this league.

Here's what you need to watch for — Junior's home record in this fixture is genuinely strong. Looking back through the head-to-head data, Junior have won three of their last four home games against Pasto, including a clean 2-0 victory the last time Pasto visited. At the Romelio Martínez, Junior are a different animal.

But don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that Pasto are simply there to make up the numbers. They arrive in stunning form. A. Estupiñán has been absolutely electric this season — 12 goals and 3 assists in just 16 matches. That's a player operating at a level that should genuinely frighten Junior's backline. He also carries a red card and five yellows already this season, which adds a fascinating subplot: one reckless moment and Pasto could lose their best player mid-game.

For Junior, Luis Muriel with 8 goals provides the attacking threat, but it's the midfield battle that I think decides this one. J. Ríos has picked up 6 yellow cards for Junior this season. Pasto's J. Caicedo has 7. Expect a physical, combative midfield contest where the referee becomes a central character.

Here's the surprising statistical edge most people are missing — when these two sides meet, goals flow both ways. Five of the last six encounters between them have seen both teams score. The bookmakers are offering the draw at 3.35, but I'd actually look harder at the Both Teams to Score market, which should carry strong value here based on the pattern of goals in this rivalry.

The odds have Junior as slight favourites at 1.90, and honestly, I agree with that assessment — but only just. My prediction is a narrow 2-1 Junior home win, with Estupiñán grabbing a goal for Pasto before Junior's superior home strength sees them over the line. I'm also backing Estupiñán to score anytime — at his current rate, keeping him quiet for 90 minutes would be a minor miracle.

Watch for a red card in this one too. Three players who feature heavily in this fixture have red cards already this season. The intensity of a top-three clash will only raise the temperature further.

Two points separate these clubs. Ninety minutes could change everything. Don't miss this one.

What's Your Pick?

Junior

Colombia Primera A

03.05.2026    23:45

Deportivo Pasto



Junior

Draw

Deportivo Pasto

Junior (0%)

Draw (0%)

Deportivo Pasto (0%)

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Our Junior vs Deportivo Pasto betting prediction

Result win Junior

1.9 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Handicap Junior (0)

1.38 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Total Over (1.5)

1.38 х

+ 100%

= €0

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Team Lineups and Player Details:

Junior vs Deportivo Pasto match odds

Best Betting Sites for Junior vs Deportivo Pasto

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Richard G. Abram

Author

Last updated: April 2026