Holywell vs The New Saints Prediction & Betting Tips

Form check: two very different runs

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, The New Saints have won 14, drawn 2 and lost just 4, scoring 38 goals while conceding only 14. That sample includes European qualifying games as well as domestic fixtures, so it's not a pure league read, but the pattern of heavy wins - things like a 5-0 away at Cardiff MET and a 3-2 win at Caernarfon - points to a side scoring freely and defending tightly.

Holywell: 20 completed matches; The New Saints: 20 completed matches.

Holywell

20 matches

Win

15% 3 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

60% 12 / 20

Scored

30

Conceded

51

Difference

-21

The New Saints

20 matches

Win

75% 15 / 20

Draw

10% 2 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

13

Difference

+28

Holywell's home record over the same length of sample is the opposite story. Four wins, four draws and 12 losses from 20, with 34 scored but 51 conceded. Several of those home games have been lopsided, conceding in bunches rather than the odd unlucky goal.

The gap in current form between these two sides is about as wide as it gets.

Comparative Team Statistics: Holywell vs The New Saints

League table tells the same story

We're only shown these two clubs' league positions here, so this isn't the full table, but the numbers on their own are striking. The New Saints sit top after 10 games, unbeaten with 9 wins and a draw, 26 scored and just 4 conceded.

Holywell are down in 16th with a single point from 10 matches - no wins, one draw, nine losses - and a goal difference of 11 for, 35 against. That's a huge points and goal gap for two teams sharing a pitch.

What might play out

Put the attack and defence numbers together and the shape of this game looks fairly clear on paper. Holywell have leaked goals regularly at home, and The New Saints have been scoring heavily on their travels. That combination usually points to goals for the away side.

It's worth remembering this fixture is still a couple of weeks away from the form data we're looking at, so both teams could shift a bit before kickoff. But closing a gap this size in a short space of time would be unusual.