Guinea host Kenya in an Africa Cup of Nations qualifier. Guinea have generally had the better of this qualifying campaign, sitting above Kenya in the group, while Kenya have found points harder to come by.
Both sides arrive with a mixed bag of recent fixtures, blending friendlies and qualifiers alike, which makes it tricky to read too much into any single scoreline. There's enough in the pattern of results, though, to get a feel for where each side stands right now.
Analysis updated .
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Recent Form: Guinea Look Steadier
Across their last 13 matches, spanning friendlies and Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers, Guinea have won four, drawn four and lost five, scoring 15 and conceding 11. It's not dominant form, but it's fairly balanced and includes some tidy defensive nights.
Guinea: 13 completed matches; Kenya: 16 completed matches.
Guinea
- Win
- 30.8% 4 / 13
- Draw
- 30.8% 4 / 13
- Loss
- 38.4% 5 / 13
- Scored
- 15
- Conceded
- 11
- Difference
- +4
Kenya
- Win
- 31.3% 5 / 16
- Draw
- 43.8% 7 / 16
- Loss
- 24.9% 4 / 16
- Scored
- 18
- Conceded
- 20
- Difference
- -2
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies | Northern Ireland | Guinea | 04.06.2026 | 1-0 |
| Friendlies | Guinea | Benin | 31.03.2026 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Guinea | Togo | 27.03.2026 | 2-2 |
| Friendlies | Guinea | Niger | 18.11.2025 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Guinea | Liberia | 15.11.2025 | 2-0 |
| Friendlies | Guinea | Central African Republic | 27.07.2025 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Senegal | Guinea | 04.07.2025 | 0-0 |
| Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Tanzania | Guinea | 19.11.2024 | 1-0 |
| Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Guinea | Congo DR | 16.11.2024 | 1-0 |
| Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification | Ethiopia | Guinea | 15.10.2024 | 0-3 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies | Kenya | Lesotho | 07.06.2026 | 4-0 |
| Friendlies | Lesotho | Kenya | 04.06.2026 | 1-1 |
| FIFA Series | Grenada | Kenya | 30.03.2026 | 0-3 |
| FIFA Series | Kenya | Estonia | 27.03.2026 | 1-1 |
| Friendlies | Senegal | Kenya | 18.11.2025 | 8-0 |
| Friendlies | Kenya | Equatorial Guinea | 14.11.2025 | 0-1 |
| Friendlies | Kenya | Chad | 10.06.2025 | 2-1 |
| Friendlies | Chad | Kenya | 07.06.2025 | 0-0 |
| Friendlies | Tanzania | Kenya | 07.01.2025 | 0-2 |
| Friendlies | Burkina Faso | Kenya | 04.01.2025 | 1-1 |
Kenya's sample is longer, 16 matches, and shows five wins, seven draws and four losses, with 18 scored against 20 conceded. That's a lot of draws, and the numbers are skewed by an 8-0 friendly defeat to Senegal, so it's worth remembering that not every result here carries qualifier-level stakes.
Guinea's recent form reads a touch more settled, but neither side has been consistently convincing against stronger opposition.
Comparative Team Statistics: Guinea vs Kenya
Where They Sit in the Group
In this qualifying group, Guinea are second with nine points from five games, three wins and two losses, scoring nine and conceding four. Kenya are third with five points from the same number of matches, one win, two draws and two losses, with four scored and seven conceded.
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group H | |||||||
| 1 | Congo DR | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6/1 | 12 |
| 2 | Guinea | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9/4 | 9 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4/4 | 7 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1/11 | 1 |
| Group J | |||||||
| 1 | Cameroon | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6/1 | 11 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5/2 | 9 |
| 3 | Kenya | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4/7 | 5 |
| 4 | Namibia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2/7 | 1 |
That gap in points and goal difference lines up with Guinea being the side who've taken care of business more often when it's mattered in this campaign specifically.
On qualifying form alone, Guinea have been the more reliable side.
How This One Might Play Out
Guinea's recent games have swung between comfortable (a 4-1 win over Ethiopia) and shaky (a 0-3 loss to the same opponents), so their level isn't entirely fixed. Kenya, meanwhile, have drawn a lot of matches recently, which hints they can be difficult to break down even when they're not winning outright.
Put together, this has the look of a contest where Guinea's group position gives them an edge, but Kenya's habit of picking up draws suggests they won't simply roll over.
Key player statistics: Guinea vs Kenya
x 1 x 1Squad lists and player details
Squad and player details
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Diawara | Guinea | 29 | Midfielder | 183 | 75 |
| S. Sylla | Guinea | 27 | Defender | 180 | 74 |
| I. Camará | Guinea | 27 | Midfielder | 190 | 78 |
| O. Camara | Guinea | 27 | Midfielder | 167 | n/a |
| M. Konaté | Guinea | 32 | Defender | 191 | 84 |
| M. Sylla | Guinea | 28 | Forward | 170 | 62 |
| T. Barry | Guinea | 26 | Attacker | 173 | n/a |
| I. Fofana | Guinea | 24 | Defender | 182 | n/a |
| Mohamed Soumah | Guinea | 23 | Defender | 188 | 80 |
| S. Cissé | Guinea | 25 | Midfielder | 177 | 72 |
| S. Sylla | France | 22 | Goalkeeper | 187 | 73 |
| Mussa Diallo | Portugal | 26 | Goalkeeper | 193 cm | 87 kg |
| I. Bangoura | Guinea | 22 | Midfielder | 190 | 78 |
| L. Kourouma | Guinea | 22 | Midfielder | 180 cm | n/a |
| A. Cissé | France | 20 | Defender | 183 | 73 |
| M. Haidara | Guinea | 20 | Midfielder | 190 | 75 |
| Gassimou Sylla | Belgium | 18 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| A. Traoré | Guinea | 19 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| M. Toure | Guinea | 20 | Midfielder | n/a | n/a |
| Abdoulaye Camara | Guinea | 19 | Attacker | n/a | n/a |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Akumu | Kenya | 33 | Midfielder | 188 | n/a |
| J. Omurwa | Kenya | 28 | Defender | 190 | 78 |
Guinea's position in the group and their recent results give them a reasonable edge on paper, but with no market to assess and both teams showing patchy form coming into this, there isn't a clear angle to back with confidence.
We'll sit this one out rather than force a pick where the evidence doesn't point strongly enough in one direction.
Who will win?
