Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent Form: Contrasting Trajectories

Cruzeiro's last 20 matches across all competitions show 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with 32 goals scored and 22 conceded. In their most recent ten games, though, it's been a mixed bag: four wins, four losses and just two draws, as they've shuttled between Serie A, the Copa do Brasil and the Libertadores.

Gremio: 20 completed matches; Cruzeiro: 20 completed matches.

Gremio

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Cruzeiro

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

32

Conceded

22

Difference

+10

Gremio's overall record over the same span is more concerning: 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses from 20 matches, with 28 goals conceded against just 24 scored. Their last ten have brought three wins and five losses, including defeats to Botafogo, Vasco and Vitoria in September alone.

Neither side looks in rampant form, but Gremio's losing habit runs deeper.

Comparative Team Statistics: Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Head-to-Head

These two have met regularly down the years, and the recent competitive record favours Cruzeiro. They've won four of the last five Serie A and cup meetings, including a 4-1 win in July 2025 and a 2-0 win as recently as April 2026, with only a 1-1 draw breaking up that run.

Gremio's only win in that stretch came in a pre-season friendly last July, which doesn't count for much in a competitive context.

History leans towards Cruzeiro, though it's no guarantee given how differently both teams have looked this season compared to last.

League Table Picture

Cruzeiro currently sit 6th in the Serie A table with 45 points from 28 games, built on 13 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. Gremio are down in 17th with 29 points from the same number of matches, having won just 7 and lost 13.

That's a 16-point gap between the two sides with the season well underway, and it lines up with the story their recent form has been telling.

Players and Fitness

Matheus Pereira has been Cruzeiro's main creative outlet, with 9 goals and 4 assists in 25 appearances, while K. Arroyo has also chipped in 4 assists. Carlos Vinícius leads the way for Gremio with 10 goals in 27 games, so the hosts do have a proven scoring threat even in a difficult campaign.

Gremio:

Best scorers:

Carlos Vinícius - 10

Penalty cards:

Pedro Gabriel x 7

Injury list:

M. Monsalve

F. Amuzu

M. Braithwaite

Cruzeiro:

Best scorers:

Matheus Pereira - 9

Best assist providers:

Matheus Pereira - 4

K. Arroyo - 4

Penalty cards:

Matheus Pereira x 9

Fabrício Bruno x 8

Injury list:

L. Villalba

L. Sinisterra

On the fitness front, Cruzeiro have Villalba and Sinisterra both listed as questionable, while Gremio have injury doubts over Monsalve, Amuzu and Braithwaite. None of these are confirmed absences for this specific fixture, so it's worth keeping an eye on team news closer to kickoff.