Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction

Recent form

Atletico Paranaense's last 20 matches across competitions show eight wins, seven draws and five losses, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. That's a fairly balanced record against a mixed bag of opposition, including some tough away trips to the likes of Botafogo and Sao Paulo.

Gremio: 20 completed matches; Atletico Paranaense: 20 completed matches.

Gremio

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Atletico Paranaense

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

35% 7 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

24

Difference

+2

Gremio's equivalent sample is tougher reading: six wins, four draws and ten losses, with 24 scored and 28 conceded. They've had heavier defeats mixed in among a few decent home wins, so consistency has clearly been an issue.

Atletico Paranaense's form looks steadier overall, though Gremio have shown they can still win matches when things click.

Comparative Team Statistics: Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense

Head-to-head

These two have met plenty of times over the years, and it's been fairly even historically with both sides picking up wins in different eras. The most recent meeting, back in May this year, finished 0-0.

Before that, Gremio won 2-0 away in August 2024, and Atletico Paranaense won 2-0 at home in April 2024. So recent meetings haven't followed a clear pattern either way.

Where they stand

Atletico Paranaense are third with 49 points from 28 games, built on 14 wins against just seven defeats. Gremio, by contrast, are down in 17th on 29 points from the same number of matches, with 13 losses already this season.

That's a 20-point gap between the two sides at this stage, which lines up with the difference we're seeing in their recent form.

Players and fitness notes

Atletico Paranaense's K. Viveros has been the standout attacking threat with 18 goals in 26 matches, well clear of Gremio's top scorer Carlos Vinícius, who has 10 in 27. Atletico Paranaense also have three players on five assists apiece, suggesting they create chances from multiple sources.

Gremio:

Best scorers:

Carlos Vinícius - 10

Penalty cards:

Pedro Gabriel x 7

Injury list:

M. Monsalve

F. Amuzu

M. Braithwaite

Atletico Paranaense:

Best scorers:

K. Viveros - 18

Best assist providers:

João Cruz - 5

L. Esquivel - 5

G. Benavídez - 5

Penalty cards:

B. Zapelli x 1 x 4

Arthur Dias x 7

Injury list:

Renan Peixoto

Renan Viana

On the fitness side, both clubs have a few names listed as questionable, including Gremio's M. Braithwaite with an Achilles issue and Atletico Paranaense's Renan Peixoto with an injury concern. None of that confirms who will or won't be involved come matchday, given how far out we still are.