Greece vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: two different pictures

Germany's last nine matches have been high-scoring in both directions. They've won six, drawn two and lost just once, but they've also shipped 11 goals along the way, including a 3-4 defeat to Switzerland and a 2-1 loss to Ivory Coast. Their attack has been prolific too, with a 7-1 win over Curaçao and a 4-0 friendly win over Finland in the mix.

Greece: 7 completed matches; Germany: 9 completed matches.

Greece

7 matches

Win

42.9% 3 / 7

Draw

28.6% 2 / 7

Loss

28.5% 2 / 7

Scored

12

Conceded

6

Difference

+6

Germany

9 matches

Win

66.7% 6 / 9

Draw

22.2% 2 / 9

Loss

11.1% 1 / 9

Scored

24

Conceded

11

Difference

+13

Greece's sample is more up and down. Across seven matches they've won three, drawn two and lost two, with 12 goals scored and six conceded. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 win away at Serbia in the Nations League, but that followed a 0-0 with Hungary and a 0-1 home defeat to Italy earlier in the year.

Germany look the busier, more attacking side, but their defensive record has been leaky compared with Greece's tighter recent numbers.

Comparative Team Statistics: Greece vs Germany

Head-to-head: Germany's had the upper hand

The two sides have met twice in the available record, and Germany won both. A 2012 European Championship clash finished 4-2 to Germany, and a 2024 friendly went 2-1 their way.

Neither game tells us much about where either team stands right now, given the gap in time and the fact these were different squads and different competitions.

Recent history leans German, but it's too old and too thin a sample to lean on heavily.

Players to keep an eye on

Joshua Kimmich has been heavily involved in Germany's attack, with six assists in his last ten appearances. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala have both chipped in with three assists each, and Wirtz has also picked up three yellow cards in his last eight games, worth noting given how referees have handled him lately.

Greece:

Best scorers:

T. Douvikas - 1

Best assist providers:

V. Pavlidis - 1

Germany:

Best assist providers:

K. Adeyemi - 1

For Greece, Anastasios Bakasetas has been their main creative outlet, also with three assists in six matches. There's no specific injury information here, so this is about who's been productive rather than who's definitely available.

How this one could unfold

Germany's games have tended to produce goals at both ends, so a repeat of that pattern would suit an open contest rather than a cagey one. Greece, by contrast, have generally been involved in tighter, lower-scoring affairs recently, aside from that odd Bulgaria and Slovakia scoreline last summer.

If Greece can keep things compact the way they did against Serbia, they've shown they're capable of frustrating better sides. But Germany's attacking numbers suggest they can create chances even against a well-organised defence.