Gabon vs Lesotho Prediction

Current Form Check

Gabon's form shows four wins, two draws and seven losses from their last 13 matches, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. That sample includes their run at the Africa Cup of Nations finals in December, where they beat Cameroon but lost tight games to Mozambique and Ivory Coast. It's a side capable of big performances but also prone to leaking goals.

What could your bet return?

1

Gabon to win

Your stake£

Odds1.14

Potential return

£22.80

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X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds5.54

Potential return

£110.80

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2

Lesotho to win

Your stake£

Odds14.8

Potential return

£296.00

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Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Gabon: 13 completed matches; Lesotho: 13 completed matches.

Gabon

13 matches

Win

30.8% 4 / 13

Draw

15.4% 2 / 13

Loss

53.8% 7 / 13

Scored

19

Conceded

25

Difference

-6

Lesotho

13 matches

Win

15.4% 2 / 13

Draw

23.1% 3 / 13

Loss

61.5% 8 / 13

Scored

4

Conceded

26

Difference

-22

Lesotho's numbers are much rougher: two wins, three draws and eight losses, with only four goals scored across those 13 games against 26 conceded. Heavy defeats to Morocco, Angola and Kenya stand out, and goals have generally been hard to come by for them in any fixture.

Comparative Team Statistics: Gabon vs Lesotho

What Happened Last Time

These two sides met in the same qualifying campaign back in October 2024. Gabon won 2-0 away at Lesotho, then were held to a goalless draw when Lesotho travelled to Gabon's own ground. It shows Lesotho can dig in defensively even against a side that's generally stronger on paper.

A repeat of that stalemate would be a real boost for anyone leaning towards Lesotho on the handicap.

Where They Stand In The Group

Based on the two matches recorded here, Gabon sit second with three points from a win and a loss, scoring two and conceding two. Lesotho are bottom of this pair with no points from two games, having scored once and conceded four. It's only a partial picture of the wider group, but it does line up with the overall form gap between the two sides.

How This One Might Play Out

Given how rarely Lesotho have scored this year, and Gabon's capacity for both big wins and big losses, there's a case for Gabon controlling most of the game without necessarily running up a huge scoreline. Their own goals-against tally suggests they can be breached too, especially if Lesotho sit deep and look for the odd break.

The goalless draw between these two at Gabon's ground in 2024 is a reminder that nothing is guaranteed just because of the form gap. Lesotho have shown before they can frustrate this opponent on their own turf.

Key player statistics: Gabon vs Lesotho

Gabon:

Penalty cards:

A. Do Marcolino x 1

Lesotho:

Penalty cards:

T. Makhele x 1