France vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips

Last updated 27 Sep 2026
France
France
UEFA Nations League
02.10.2026    19:45
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Italy
Italy

France host Italy in the UEFA Nations League. France have been in excellent form across a long run of matches this year, while Italy's recent sample is much shorter and includes a loss last time out.

The last two meetings between these sides both came in this same competition, and both were won by the away team. That's useful context heading into the fixture, though how each side arrives now will matter just as much.

Analysis updated .

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Recent form

France's form line covers thirteen matches stretching back to March, taking in a run to the World Cup final as well as recent Nations League fixtures. They've won ten of those games and lost just three, with a healthy goal difference. Their most recent result was a tidy 1-0 win away at Türkiye in the Nations League.

France: 13 completed matches; Italy: 3 completed matches.

France

13 matches
Win
76.9% 10 / 13
Draw
0% 0 / 13
Loss
23.1% 3 / 13
Scored
30
Conceded
15
Difference
+15

Italy

3 matches
Win
66.7% 2 / 3
Draw
0% 0 / 3
Loss
33.3% 1 / 3
Scored
2
Conceded
2
Difference
0
France
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Türkiye France 25.09.2026 0-1
World Cup France England 19.07.2026 4-6
World Cup France Spain 14.07.2026 0-2
World Cup France Morocco 09.07.2026 2-0
World Cup Paraguay France 05.07.2026 0-1
World Cup France Sweden 01.07.2026 3-0
World Cup Norway France 26.06.2026 1-4
World Cup France Iraq 23.06.2026 3-0
World Cup France Senegal 16.06.2026 3-1
Friendlies France Northern Ireland 08.06.2026 3-1
Load more
Italy
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Italy Belgium 25.09.2026 0-2
Friendlies Greece Italy 07.06.2026 0-1
Friendlies Luxembourg Italy 03.06.2026 0-1

Italy's sample is much smaller, just three matches. Two of those were narrow 1-0 wins away in friendlies back in June, but their last outing ended in a 2-0 home defeat to Belgium in the Nations League. That's a short run, so it's hard to read too much into it beyond the most recent scoreline.

France's numbers cover several different competitions, so they're not a pure read on their current Nations League form alone.

Comparative Team Statistics: France vs Italy

France vs Italy statistics: team strength, attack, defence and head-to-head comparison.

Head-to-head record

There are four meetings in the data here, though that's unlikely to cover every match these two have played. The two most recent, both in the 2024 Nations League, were each won by the away side: 3-1 to France in Italy, and 3-1 to Italy in France.

Head 2 Head
League Home Away Date Score
UEFA Nations League Italy France 17.11.2024 1-3
UEFA Nations League France Italy 06.09.2024 1-3
Friendlies France Italy 01.06.2018 3-1
Euro Championship France Italy 17.06.2008 0-2

Further back, France won a 2018 friendly 3-1 at home, while Italy won 2-0 away in a Euro 2008 group match. It's not a clean home-or-away pattern across the sample, both sides have shown they can win in either country.

The last two competitive meetings both went to the away side, a small mark of encouragement for Italy given this one is in France.

France vs Italy: UEFA Nations League match preview with team badges and kick-off details.

Squad notes

The player data available here is limited to one match's worth of stats rather than a full squad list. Kylian Mbappé is shown as France's top scorer with a goal in that game, and Michael Olise picked up an assist. On the disciplinary side, Enzo Lepaul picked up a yellow card for France and Daniel Maldini one for Italy.

France:
Best scorers:
Kylian Mbappé - 1
Best assist providers:
M. Olise - 1
Penalty cards:
E. Lepaul red card x 1
Italy:
Penalty cards:
D. Maldini red card x 1

None of that tells us about squad availability for this specific fixture, so it shouldn't be read as team news in the usual sense, more a snapshot from recent matches.

Squad lists and player details

Squad and player details

France
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
L. Hernández France 30 Defender 184 79
O. Dembélé France 29 Midfielder 178 67
A. Rabiot France 31 Midfielder 188 72
Kylian Mbappé France 27 Attacker 178 75
I. Konaté France 27 Defender 194 95
D. Upamecano France 27 Defender 186 90
J. Koundé France 27 Defender 181 84
A. Tchouaméni France 26 Midfielder 187 81
E. Camavinga France 23 Midfielder 182 68
N. Kanté France 35 Midfielder 168 68
L. Digne France 33 Defender 178 74
J. Butez France 31 Goalkeeper 188 70
M. Olise France 24 Midfielder 184 76
M. Lacroix France 26 Defender 190 88
R. Kolo Muani France 27 Attacker 187 73
M. Thuram France 29 Attacker 192 90
B. Samba France 32 Goalkeeper 187 90
W. Saliba France 25 Defender 192 92
M. Koné France 25 Midfielder 185 80
M. Maignan France 31 Goalkeeper 191 89
Italy
Name Country Age Position Height Weight
B. Cristante Italy 31 Midfielder 186 80
M. Kean Italy 26 Attacker 183 67
G. Donnarumma Italy 27 Goalkeeper 196 90
M. Carnesecchi Italy 26 Goalkeeper 191 83
G. Mancini Italy 30 Defender 190 77
N. Cambiaghi Italy 25 Attacker 173 66
G. Raspadori Italy 26 Attacker 172 69
G. Scamacca Italy 27 Attacker 196 85
N. Barella Italy 29 Midfielder 175 68
R. Mandragora Italy 29 Midfielder 183 76
G. Di Lorenzo Italy 33 Defender 183 83
S. Tonali Italy 26 Midfielder 181 79
D. Frattesi Italy 27 Midfielder 178 74
G. Vicario Italy 29 Goalkeeper 194 83
D. Maldini Italy 24 Attacker 188 83
R. Calafiori Italy 24 Defender 188 86
G. Scalvini Italy 22 Defender 194 76
C. Ndour Italy 22 Midfielder 190 82
F. Chiarodia Italy 21 Defender 186 80
T. Berti Italy 22 Midfielder 171 64

France go in with the stronger overall body of work, though a lot of that form comes from World Cup football rather than this competition specifically. Italy's data is too thin to draw firm conclusions from, aside from a disappointing scoreline last time out.

The head-to-head sample cuts against any strong home leaning too, since the last two Nations League meetings were both won by the away team. With no market available to weigh up, this one is a pass rather than a pick.

Who will win?


France (0%)
Draw (0%)
Italy (0%)
Vitory Santos
Author
Last updated: September 2026
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