Fluminense vs Coritiba Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form favours the hosts

Looking at each side's last 20 matches across competitions, Fluminense have won 8, drawn 9 and lost just 3, scoring 33 and conceding 22. That's a tidy, low-risk record even allowing for the number of draws mixed in.

What could your bet return?

1

Fluminense to win

Your stake£

Odds1.5

Potential return

£30.00

Bet Now

X

Draw

Your stake£

Odds4

Potential return

£80.00

Bet Now

2

Coritiba to win

Your stake£

Odds6.25

Potential return

£125.00

Bet Now

Potential returns include your stake. Odds may change.

Fluminense: 20 completed matches; Coritiba: 20 completed matches.

Fluminense

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

22

Difference

+11

Coritiba

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

35

Difference

-9

Coritiba's equivalent sample reads 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses, with 26 scored and 35 conceded. They've shown they can score goals, including a 5-0 win over Vasco DA Gama, but they've also shipped plenty at the other end.

Fluminense's form is both better and steadier, though their high draw count is worth remembering.

Comparative Team Statistics: Fluminense vs Coritiba

A fixture with plenty of history

These two have met regularly going back over a decade, and the head-to-head record is fairly mixed rather than one-sided. There have been some big scorelines in both directions over the years, including a 5-2 and a 4-0 in Fluminense's favour, but also spells where Coritiba have got the better of it.

The most recent meeting, back in April this year, ended 1-1 at Coritiba's ground. It's a reminder that current form doesn't always carry straight over into this particular fixture.

A clear gap in the table

Fluminense are 4th with 48 points from 28 games, while Coritiba sit down in 9th on 38 points from the same number of matches. That's a ten-point gap with an identical amount of football played, which says plenty about the different trajectories of these two sides this season.

Goal difference tells a similar story. Fluminense have scored 44 and conceded 36, while Coritiba have shipped 43 against 37 scored. Neither number is spectacular, but Fluminense's is comfortably the healthier of the two.

The league table backs Fluminense as the stronger side by some distance.

Goals and fitness notes

John Kennedy has been Fluminense's most productive forward with 9 goals in 18 matches, while Coritiba have two players in the 8-goal bracket in Pedro Rocha and Breno Lopes. Coritiba's Josué also stands out with 10 assists, more than anyone named on the Fluminense side.

Fluminense:

Best scorers:

John Kennedy - 9

Hulk - 7

Best assist providers:

L. Acosta - 5

Penalty cards:

A. Canobbio x 1 x 5

Injury list:

G. Cano

Jemmes

PH Ganso

Coritiba:

Best scorers:

Pedro Rocha - 8

Breno Lopes - 8

Best assist providers:

Josué - 10

Penalty cards:

Thiago Santos x 7

Injury list:

Lucas Crepaldi

Tiago Coser

On the fitness front, Coritiba have Lucas Crepaldi and Tiago Coser both listed as questionable, while Fluminense have similar question marks over G. Cano, who's dealing with a knee issue, plus Jemmes and PH Ganso. None of that confirms who will or won't play, but it's worth keeping an eye on team news closer to kickoff.

How the game might unfold

Fluminense have generally kept things tighter at the back this season, while Coritiba's defensive numbers suggest they can be got at. That combination points towards Fluminense controlling the game and creating chances, even if Coritiba have shown in patches that they can hurt sides on the counter.

At the same time, both teams have had their share of draws recently, so a cagier outcome wouldn't be a total shock if Coritiba set up to frustrate rather than chase the game.