Mark your calendars for 03.05.2026 when FC St. Pauli meets FSV Mainz 05 in a pivotal German Bundesliga match. The stakes are high as both teams have shown comparable prowess. Our in-depth analysis includes tactical previews, player spotlights, and historical data. After reading our prediction, why not make the match even more exciting by placing a bet?
Standings of both teams
| № | Team | Played | Win | Draw | Loss | GF/GA | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 39/55 | 37 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39/49 | 34 |
| 11 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36/50 | 32 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34/50 | 31 |
| 16 | FC St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26/53 | 26 |
| 17 | VfL Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41/66 | 25 |
Key Player Statistics: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
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x 2 x 10 x 2 x 2 x 1 x 2FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 Historical Match Results
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | FC St. Pauli | 21.12.2025 | 0-0 |
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | FC St. Pauli | 22.02.2025 | 2-0 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | FSV Mainz 05 | 05.10.2024 | 0-3 |
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | FC St. Pauli | 14.05.2011 | 2-1 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | FSV Mainz 05 | 18.12.2010 | 2-4 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendlies Clubs | FC St. Pauli | Werder Bremen | 04.01.2026 | 0-0 |
| Bundesliga | 1. FC Heidenheim | FC St. Pauli | 25.04.2026 | 2-0 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | 1. FC Köln | 17.04.2026 | 1-1 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | Bayern München | 11.04.2026 | 0-5 |
| Bundesliga | Union Berlin | FC St. Pauli | 05.04.2026 | 1-1 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | SC Freiburg | 22.03.2026 | 1-2 |
| Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach | FC St. Pauli | 13.03.2026 | 2-0 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | Eintracht Frankfurt | 08.03.2026 | 0-0 |
| Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim | FC St. Pauli | 28.02.2026 | 0-1 |
| Bundesliga | FC St. Pauli | Werder Bremen | 22.02.2026 | 2-1 |
| League | Home | Away | Date | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | Bayern München | 25.04.2026 | 3-4 |
| Bundesliga | Borussia Mönchengladbach | FSV Mainz 05 | 19.04.2026 | 1-1 |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | Strasbourg | FSV Mainz 05 | 16.04.2026 | 4-0 |
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | 12.04.2026 | 0-1 |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | FSV Mainz 05 | Strasbourg | 09.04.2026 | 2-0 |
| Bundesliga | 1899 Hoffenheim | FSV Mainz 05 | 04.04.2026 | 1-2 |
| Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 22.03.2026 | 2-1 |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | FSV Mainz 05 | Sigma Olomouc | 19.03.2026 | 2-0 |
| Bundesliga | Werder Bremen | FSV Mainz 05 | 15.03.2026 | 0-2 |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | Sigma Olomouc | FSV Mainz 05 | 12.03.2026 | 0-0 |
Comparative Team Statistics: FC St. Pauli VS FSV Mainz 05
Last 20 Matches Statistics: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
Bookies' predictions
FC St. Pauli
Betting Intelligence: FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
htmlThis one really matters. FC St. Pauli sit 16th in the Bundesliga with just five games left. That's a relegation place. Every point from here is a lifeline, and Millerntor on Saturday night will feel exactly like that.
St. Pauli host Mainz knowing that defeat could be fatal to their top-flight survival hopes. Eight points behind safety with a game in hand still not closing the gap fast enough — the math is brutally simple. Win, or face the very real prospect of going down.
Here's what you need to watch for. St. Pauli's recent form tells a worrying story. They've won just twice in their last ten Bundesliga outings, and those victories came against relegation rivals Hoffenheim and Stuttgart. Against anyone with genuine quality, they've been brushed aside. A 5-0 hammering by Bayern, a 4-0 thrashing at Leverkusen — the gulf in class shows up fast when the pressure is on.
Mainz, meanwhile, arrive in decent but not spectacular form. They're 10th, comfortable mid-table, with 34 points from 31 games. No relegation fears, no title race. But don't be fooled by the mainstream narrative that a comfortable side will roll over in a dead rubber. Mainz have already beaten St. Pauli twice this season — 2-0 in February and 3-0 at Millerntor back in October. That head-to-head dominance is striking. Four of the last five meetings have ended as Mainz wins or draws.
Here's a surprising stat that bettors should notice. St. Pauli have conceded 53 goals in 31 games — the worst defensive record in the entire Bundesliga. Mainz have scored in comfortable batches all season. That combination screams goals, particularly for the away side.
The injury situation adds another layer of concern for the home side. Seven players are listed as questionable, including multiple defensive and midfield options. Mainz also carry injury doubts, but theirs is a squad with far greater depth. St. Pauli simply cannot afford another defensive collapse right now. Mainz's Dominik Kohr has been a yellow card magnet this season — 10 bookings already — and a booking for him in a tight midfield battle feels almost inevitable.
My prediction? Mainz win this 2-1. They have the head-to-head edge, the better squad, and a St. Pauli defence that is leaking goals at an alarming rate. In the betting markets, Mainz at 2.55 represents genuine value given the context. The draw at 3.25 is tempting if you believe St. Pauli can dig deep, but their recent performances suggest their legs and confidence are both running low.
For goals markets, back Over 2.5 goals with confidence. Both teams to score also looks attractive given St. Pauli's desperation to attack combined with Mainz's ability to punish on the break.
St. Pauli's fans will roar their side on like it's the last game ever played. For some players in that dressing room, it might genuinely feel that way. But passion alone won't fix a leaky back four. This is Mainz's game to take — and they know exactly how to take it.
What's Your Pick?
Where to Bet on FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05
Our FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 betting prediction
Team Lineups and Player Details:
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sinani | Luxembourg | 29 | Attacker | 185 | 70 |
| C. Metcalfe | Australia | 26 | Midfielder | 183 | 75 |
| D. Nemeth | Austria | 25 | Defender | 191 | 89 |
| E. Smith | Sweden | 29 | Defender | 192 | 86 |
| N. Vasilj | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 30 | Goalkeeper | 193 | 86 |
| O. Afolayan | England | 28 | Attacker | 180 | 71 |
| Mathias Pereira Lage | Portugal | 29 | Attacker | 180 | 73 |
| H. Wahl | Germany | 32 | Defender | 189 | 85 |
| M. Saliakas | Greece | 29 | Defender | 177 | 74 |
| J. Sands | USA | 25 | Midfielder | 186 | 84 |
| L. Ritzka | Germany | 27 | Defender | 185 | 80 |
| B. Voll | Germany | 25 | Goalkeeper | 195 | 86 |
| J. Fujita | Japan | 24 | Midfielder | 175 | 76 |
| A. Pyrka | Poland | 23 | Midfielder | 177 | 72 |
| A. Hountondji | Benin | 23 | Attacker | 190 | 64 |
| L. Oppie | Germany | 23 | Midfielder | 184 | 81 |
| S. Spari | Austria | 23 | Goalkeeper | 196 | 77 |
| Romeo Aigbekaen | Germany | 21 | Attacker | 188 | 78 |
| Marwin Reiner Ian Schmitz | Germany | 19 | Midfielder | 180 | 70 |
| Abdoulie Ceesay | Gambia | 22 | Attacker | 185 | 79 |
| Name | Country | Age | Position | Height | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Amiri | Germany | 29 | Midfielder | 180 | 75 |
| D. Kohr | Germany | 32 | Defender | 183 | 77 |
| D. da Costa | Germany | 32 | Defender | 187 | 87 |
| Lee Jae-Sung | Korea Republic | 33 | Midfielder | 180 | 70 |
| A. Nordin | France | 27 | Midfielder | 170 | 70 |
| L. Maloney | USA | 26 | Midfielder | 187 | 89 |
| M. Leitsch | Germany | 27 | Defender | 188 | 75 |
| M. Richter | Germany | 28 | Midfielder | 176 | 74 |
| R. Zentner | Germany | 31 | Goalkeeper | 194 | 96 |
| S. Bell | Germany | 34 | Defender | 192 | 88 |
| Hong Hyun-Seok | Korea Republic | 26 | Midfielder | 175 | 66 |
| K. Sano | Japan | 25 | Midfielder | 176 | 67 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | Norway | 29 | Defender | 185 | 79 |
| S. Widmer | Switzerland | 33 | Midfielder | 183 | 77 |
| B. Hollerbach | Germany | 24 | Attacker | 181 | 81 |
| P. Nebel | Germany | 23 | Attacker | 169 | 66 |
| A. Sieb | Germany | 23 | Attacker | 175 | 75 |
| B. Bobzien | Germany | 23 | Attacker | 176 | 70 |
| Maxim Bora Dal | Germany | 20 | Defender | 189 | 85 |
| K. Bos | Australia | 21 | Attacker | 186 | 76 |
FC St. Pauli vs FSV Mainz 05 match odds
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