Excelsior vs Twente Prediction

Both Teams Have Wobbled Lately

Twente's wider sample across competitions shows 12 wins from 20, but their last five outings have brought three defeats, including losses away to AZ Alkmaar and in the Conference League. Some of that comes from European fixtures rather than pure league form, so it's not a full picture of their Eredivisie shape alone.

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1

Excelsior to win

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Draw

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Twente to win

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Excelsior: 20 completed matches; Twente: 20 completed matches.

Excelsior

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

25% 5 / 20

Scored

48

Conceded

33

Difference

+15

Twente

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

50

Conceded

20

Difference

+30

Excelsior's overall record over 20 games is decent on paper, with 11 wins, but their last three matches have all ended in defeat, including a heavy 5-1 loss at home to Groningen. That's a worrying dip in defensive solidity right before this one.

Neither side's recent form matches their season-long numbers particularly well.

Comparative Team Statistics: Excelsior vs Twente

Twente's Recent Edge in This Fixture

The last meeting between these two ended goalless, but before that Twente won away in both August 2025 and February 2024. Looking further back, the head-to-head record is fairly even over the years, spanning different competitions and squads.

The recent meetings do lean Twente's way, though this fixture has thrown up draws and big away wins for both sides at various points.

A Clear Gap in the Table

Twente sit fifth with 17 points from nine games, while Excelsior are down in tenth on 11 points from the same number of matches. The goal difference tells a similar story: Twente have scored 17 and conceded 10, whereas Excelsior have let in 18 against 16 scored.

That gap in both results and goals suggests Twente have generally been the tighter, more productive side this season.

Key Men to Watch

Wout Weghorst has been Twente's main source of goals, netting four in seven appearances, and he gives them a clear focal point up front. For Excelsior, Sliti has three goals in the same span, with Yegoian supplying five assists and Janssen chipping in three.

Excelsior:

Best scorers:

A. Sliti - 3

Best assist providers:

I. Yegoian - 5

S. Janssen - 3

Penalty cards:

J. Plug x 2

Twente:

Best scorers:

W. Weghorst - 4

Best assist providers:

Y. Taha - 2

Excelsior's Plug has picked up two yellow cards in seven games, though nothing in the data points to a suspension risk for this match.

Goals Look Likely Either Way

Excelsior have shipped goals in bunches across their last three matches, while Twente's attack has kept ticking over with Weghorst leading the line. That combination points towards an open game rather than a cagey one.

Twente's own defensive record has held up reasonably well over the season as a whole, even with recent slips, which could matter if Excelsior push numbers forward.