Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag Prediction & Betting Tips

A struggling top-flight side against a steady lower-league one

Excelsior '31's recent record in the Derde Divisie reads 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 20 matches, with 41 goals scored and 25 conceded. That's a side doing well against the kind of opposition they face regularly, including recent wins over Dovo and SVZW.

Excelsior '31: 20 completed matches; ADO Den Haag: 20 completed matches.

Excelsior '31

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

41

Conceded

25

Difference

+16

ADO Den Haag

20 matches

Win

50% 10 / 20

Draw

15% 3 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

39

Conceded

27

Difference

+12

ADO Den Haag's overall away sample shows 10 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 20 games, but the picture changes once you look closer. Their run since moving up to the Eredivisie this season has been rough: a draw with Cambuur, a draw at Feyenoord, and defeats to Twente, Fortuna Sittard, GO Ahead Eagles, Groningen and AZ Alkmaar. No wins in that Eredivisie run so far.

ADO arrive with confidence dented by their top-flight results, even if their overall level is still higher than Excelsior's.

Only one meeting, and it's old

These two have met just once in the data available, back in October 2022 in the KNVB Beker, when ADO Den Haag won 2-3 away at Excelsior '31. That's four years ago and tells us little about either side's current form or squad.

How the levels might play out

On paper, an Eredivisie club should have too much for a Derde Divisie side, even one going through a rough patch. But ADO Den Haag's winless run in the top flight this season shows they're not steamrolling anyone at the moment, and cup matches against lower-division hosts can be scrappy and unpredictable.

Excelsior '31 will have home advantage and a decent recent record in their own competition, including a run through the early rounds of the KNVB Beker itself. That won't be enough on its own against a much higher-level squad, but it does mean this isn't the kind of mismatch where the underdog simply turns up and loses heavily.