Estrela vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form

Looking across a wider run of matches that takes in league games and some friendlies, Estrela have won six, drawn eight and lost six, scoring 31 and conceding 29 along the way. It's a mixed picture but broadly competitive, and their last five results include a 2-1 win over Braga, a 3-3 draw at Rio Ave and a home defeat to Academico Viseu.

Estrela: 20 completed matches; Casa Pia: 20 completed matches.

Estrela

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

40% 8 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

31

Conceded

29

Difference

+2

Casa Pia

20 matches

Win

20% 4 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

55% 11 / 20

Scored

14

Conceded

33

Difference

-19

Casa Pia's equivalent sample is much harder reading: four wins, five draws and eleven losses, with only 14 goals scored against 33 conceded. That includes a heavy 0-7 home defeat to Benfica and further losses to Porto and Moreirense in recent weeks.

Casa Pia's away form in particular has been low on goals and heavy on defeats.

Comparative Team Statistics: Estrela vs Casa Pia

Head-to-head

These two have swung wildly from one meeting to the next. Estrela won 4-0 at home back in March, but Casa Pia won away 5-3 the previous November and also took a 2-1 friendly win in July.

Go back further and it's much the same story, home and away wins mixed in with the occasional draw. There's no strong pattern here that points clearly one way.

This head-to-head record looks too inconsistent to lean on heavily.

League table snapshot

Estrela sit eighth after seven games, with 10 points from two wins, four draws and a single defeat. Casa Pia are down in 17th on just four points, having won only once and lost five times.

The goal difference tells its own story. Estrela have scored and conceded 14 each, a reasonably even return, while Casa Pia have managed just three goals for and let in 16.

Casa Pia's struggles are as much about creating chances as defending them.

Players to watch

Estrela's goals have been shared around, with A. Marcus, L. Antonetti and I. Stoica all on four for the season. Eddy Doue leads the assist charts with three and has picked up four yellow cards in seven games, so he's clearly heavily involved.

Estrela:

Best scorers:

A. Marcus - 4

L. Antonetti - 4

I. Stoica - 4

Best assist providers:

Eddy Doue - 3

I. Stoica - 2

Penalty cards:

Eddy Doue x 4

S. Leković x 3

Casa Pia:

Penalty cards:

Kaly x 1 x 2

David Sousa x 3

For Casa Pia, David Sousa and Kaly are the two names picking up bookings most often, which fits a side that's had to do a lot of defending lately.

How this one could play out

Estrela's attack has been reasonably productive and shared between a few players, while Casa Pia have struggled badly to score, managing only three goals in seven league matches. That gap suggests Estrela ought to have chances.

At the same time, Estrela haven't been watertight at home either, conceding regularly and dropping points in draws. Casa Pia's defensive record is poor enough that goals against them wouldn't be a surprise if Estrela click.