Estonia vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips

Two very different runs of form

Estonia arrive with three wins, three draws and just one loss in their last seven matches, scoring eight and conceding six. That's a solid recent return, even though the games span the Baltic Cup, FIFA Series fixtures and Nations League football rather than one settled competition.

Estonia: 7 completed matches; Iceland: 8 completed matches.

Estonia

7 matches

Win

42.9% 3 / 7

Draw

42.9% 3 / 7

Loss

14.2% 1 / 7

Scored

8

Conceded

6

Difference

+2

Iceland

8 matches

Win

12.5% 1 / 8

Draw

37.5% 3 / 8

Loss

50% 4 / 8

Scored

7

Conceded

14

Difference

-7

Iceland's sample looks a lot bleaker: one win, three draws and four losses in eight games, with fourteen goals conceded. Heavy defeats to Argentina and Mexico in friendlies stand out, alongside narrower losses to Japan and Northern Ireland, though a 3-1 win away at Scotland shows they're not entirely without a spark.

Iceland's defence has looked shaky against a wide range of opposition, though friendly results can be misleading.

Comparative Team Statistics: Estonia vs Iceland

They've already drawn once this campaign

Estonia and Iceland met just days ago, with Estonia on the road, and it finished 1-1. Their only other recorded meeting, back in January 2023, also ended 1-1.

Two draws from two known meetings is a small sample, but it does point to these sides being fairly evenly matched whenever they play.

What might decide this one

With Estonia now at home and Iceland the ones travelling, the situation is flipped from their recent meeting. If Iceland's leaky defence shows up again, Estonia's home advantage could make more of a difference this time.

Equally, given every meeting on record between these two has ended level, another share of the points wouldn't be a shock. Nations League squads can also mix regulars with fringe players, adding to the unpredictability.