Coritiba vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form: mixed patches for both sides

Coritiba's last five league outings have swung all over the place - a heavy defeat at Vasco da Gama, a draw with Atletico Paranaense, a loss to Mirassol, but also wins over Remo and Corinthians either side of that dip.

Coritiba: 20 completed matches; Gremio: 20 completed matches.

Coritiba

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

40% 8 / 20

Scored

26

Conceded

35

Difference

-9

Gremio

20 matches

Win

30% 6 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

50% 10 / 20

Scored

24

Conceded

28

Difference

-4

Gremio's recent run has been tougher. Three defeats in four matches, with only a scrappy draw against Palmeiras breaking up the losing sequence. Across a wider 20-game sample covering all competitions, Coritiba have six wins, six draws and eight defeats, while Gremio have six wins, four draws and ten losses.

Neither side arrives with real momentum, but Gremio's underlying numbers look the shakier of the two.

Comparative Team Statistics: Coritiba vs Gremio

How these two have fared before

The most recent meeting came in April this year, with Coritiba winning 1-0 at home in this very fixture. Go back further and the head-to-head has swung both ways, including a couple of eye-catching Gremio wins, 2-1 and 5-1, back in 2023.

There's no strong long-term pattern here, but the freshest result favoured the home side.

A clear gap in the table

Coritiba sit ninth with 38 points from 28 games, while Gremio are down in seventeenth on 29 points from the same number of matches. That's a nine-point gap and eight places separating them this deep into the campaign.

Coritiba's goal difference is also healthier, despite shipping a fair few themselves, which points to a side generally getting more from their matches than Gremio right now.

Coritiba go into this with a meaningful standings edge.

Players and fitness notes

Gremio's Carlos Vinícius has been the standout scorer between these two sides with ten goals, while Coritiba share the load more evenly between Pedro Rocha and Breno Lopes, both on eight, with Josué adding ten assists from midfield.

Coritiba:

Best scorers:

Pedro Rocha - 8

Breno Lopes - 8

Best assist providers:

Josué - 10

Penalty cards:

Thiago Santos x 7

Injury list:

Lucas Crepaldi

Tiago Coser

Gremio:

Best scorers:

Carlos Vinícius - 10

Penalty cards:

Pedro Gabriel x 7

Injury list:

M. Monsalve

F. Amuzu

M. Braithwaite

On fitness, Coritiba have question marks over Lucas Crepaldi and Tiago Coser, both listed as inactive. Gremio have their own doubts too, with M. Monsalve, F. Amuzu and Martin Braithwaite all flagged, the latter dealing with an Achilles issue.

Both squads carry some fitness uncertainty this far out from kickoff, so these situations are worth revisiting closer to the match.