Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form

Chapecoense's last 20 matches, spanning the league, cup and friendly football, show a side that's really struggling: five wins, five draws and ten defeats, conceding at a rate of well over a goal a game. That's a difficult return by any measure.

Chapecoense-sc: 20 completed matches; Fluminense: 20 completed matches.

Chapecoense-sc

20 matches

Win

25% 5 / 20

Draw

30% 6 / 20

Loss

45% 9 / 20

Scored

23

Conceded

32

Difference

-9

Fluminense

20 matches

Win

40% 8 / 20

Draw

45% 9 / 20

Loss

15% 3 / 20

Scored

33

Conceded

22

Difference

+11

Fluminense's equivalent sample tells a different story. Eight wins, nine draws and just three defeats, with more goals scored than conceded. They've had continental football mixed into that run too, so it isn't purely a league picture.

Fluminense's underlying numbers point to a side that's rarely losing, even in games they don't quite win outright.

Comparative Team Statistics: Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense

Head-to-head record

These two have met regularly going back over a decade, with results swinging both ways depending on the era. The most recent meeting, back in April this year, was played at Fluminense's ground and finished 2-1 to the home side.

That history spans several competitions and very different squads over the years, so it's more background than a guide to current form. The recent trend does lean towards Fluminense, but the older results shouldn't carry much weight now.

League table snapshot

The gap in the table matches the gap in form. Fluminense sit fourth with 48 points from 28 games, winning 13 of them. Chapecoense are down in 20th, with just 18 points from 27 games and only three wins all season.

The goal difference tells the same story. Fluminense have scored 44 and conceded 36, while Chapecoense have shipped 53 against just 29 scored. That's a heavy defensive workload for the home side.

It's about as clear a positional gap as you'll see between two sides in the same division.

Team news and key men

Fluminense's goal threat is spread around: John Kennedy has nine in 18 appearances, Hulk has seven from 21, and Acosta has chipped in five assists. For Chapecoense, Giovanni Augusto is the main creative outlet with five assists of his own.

Chapecoense-sc:

Best assist providers:

Giovanni Augusto - 5

Penalty cards:

Doma x 1 x 6

Camilo x 7

Injury list:

Robert Conceicao

Marcos Vinicius

Mauricio Garcez

Fluminense:

Best scorers:

John Kennedy - 9

Hulk - 7

Best assist providers:

L. Acosta - 5

Penalty cards:

A. Canobbio x 1 x 5

Injury list:

G. Cano

Jemmes

PH Ganso

On discipline, Chapecoense's Camilo and Doma have both picked up plenty of yellow cards this season, with Fluminense's Canobbio not far behind. There are fitness question marks too: Fluminense list G. Cano with a knee issue, plus Jemmes and Ganso as doubts, while Chapecoense have Robert Conceicao, Marcos Vinicius and Mauricio Garcez all listed as questionable. None of that confirms who'll actually be missing on the day.

How this one could play out

Put the form and the table together and this looks like a heavily one-sided fixture on paper, with the away side carrying much the better recent numbers into a ground where the home team have struggled all year.

The head-to-head record leans the same way too, though that's built on a mix of eras and shouldn't be treated as proof of anything on its own. With a month still to go before kickoff, team news and form could shift a bit before these two actually meet.

The scale of the gap here is bigger than in most matchweeks, though a month is long enough for things to move.