Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction

Two contrasting runs

Across their last 20 matches in all competitions, Brighton have won 12, drawn 4 and lost 4, with 45 goals scored. That looks like a strong record, but a lot of those defeats have come away from home, including losses at Manchester City, Liverpool, Sunderland, Coventry and Chelsea.

Bournemouth: 20 completed matches; Brighton: 20 completed matches.

Bournemouth

20 matches

Win

55% 11 / 20

Draw

25% 5 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

52

Conceded

23

Difference

+29

Brighton

20 matches

Win

60% 12 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

20% 4 / 20

Scored

45

Conceded

18

Difference

+27

Bournemouth's recent sample shows 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 20 games, with 52 goals scored. Importantly, their home matches in that run have been solid, with wins over Leeds, Sunderland, Aston Villa, AC Milan and Sturm Graz, even though some of those came in cup and European ties rather than the league.

Brighton's overall numbers look better, but their away form specifically has been shakier than their table position suggests.

Comparative Team Statistics: Bournemouth vs Brighton

A mixed head-to-head

These two have met 20 times across various competitions over the years, and the recent meetings don't point strongly one way. Bournemouth won the last home fixture between them back in September 2025 by 2-1, and also won 3-0 at home in April 2024.

There's also a 1-1 draw from January 2026 and a Brighton away win in November 2024 in the mix, so Bournemouth's home record against Brighton isn't one-sided even if they've had some good results there.

Where they sit in the table

Brighton are third in the Premier League with 19 points from nine games, built on six wins, a draw and two losses, scoring 24 and conceding just 7. Bournemouth are seventh with 12 points from the same number of matches, winning three, drawing three and losing three, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.

The gap in points and goal difference is clear, but both sides have played the same number of league games, so this is a decent early-season snapshot rather than anything settled.

Players to watch

For Brighton, P. Groß has been involved heavily in attack with 3 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 matches, while C. Kostoulas and M. Yalcouyé have chipped in with 2 goals apiece. M. De Cuyper has also picked up a couple of yellow cards in that span.

Bournemouth:

Best scorers:

M. Tavernier - 3

Best assist providers:

Evanilson - 3

Penalty cards:

A. Smith x 3

M. Tavernier x 2

Brighton:

Best scorers:

P. Groß - 3

C. Kostoulas - 2

M. Yalcouyé - 2

Best assist providers:

P. Groß - 3

M. De Cuyper - 2

D. Gómez - 2

Penalty cards:

M. De Cuyper x 2

Bournemouth's M. Tavernier has scored 3 in his last 5, and Evanilson has set up 3 goals over the same stretch. A. Smith has been the most frequently booked player for Bournemouth recently.

These are top performers from recent matches, not confirmed selections for this specific fixture.