Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips

Recent form in more detail

Dortmund's league form reads well: they beat Stuttgart away, thumped Paderborn 3-0 at home, edged Hoffenheim 3-2 on the road and saw off Hamburg 2-0. It hasn't all been smooth going though — they lost the German Super Cup to Bayern and needed a fightback to beat Villarreal 3-2 in the Champions League.

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1

Borussia Dortmund to win

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Odds1.36

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£27.20

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Draw

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Odds5.25

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2

Werder Bremen to win

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Odds7

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£140.00

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Borussia Dortmund: 20 completed matches; Werder Bremen: 20 completed matches.

Borussia Dortmund

20 matches

Win

65% 13 / 20

Draw

5% 1 / 20

Loss

30% 6 / 20

Scored

40

Conceded

20

Difference

+20

Werder Bremen

20 matches

Win

45% 9 / 20

Draw

20% 4 / 20

Loss

35% 7 / 20

Scored

35

Conceded

28

Difference

+7

Bremen have shown they can score, beating Augsburg 3-2 and Leipzig 3-1 at home, but their away form is shakier. They drew 1-1 at Köln and were beaten 4-1 at Freiburg, conceding four goals in a single match on the road.

Bremen's away defence has looked exposed, which matters with this fixture on the road.

Comparative Team Statistics: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

How recent meetings have gone

The last two Bundesliga meetings have gone Dortmund's way. They won 3-0 at home back in January and then won 2-0 away at Bremen in May, both comfortable results.

Further back, the head-to-head record is more mixed, with draws and Bremen wins scattered across the years. But those older matches don't tell us much about either side's current form.

Recent meetings favour Dortmund, though history alone won't decide this one.

Where both sides stand

Dortmund are top of the Bundesliga after four games, with four wins from four, nine goals scored and just two conceded. Werder are down in eighth on seven points, having won two, drawn one and lost one, with eight scored and eight let in.

That gap isn't just about points. Dortmund's defensive numbers stand out, while Bremen's goals-against tally shows they've been leaking chances even when picking up results.

Dortmund's defensive solidity at home could be the bigger factor than their attack.

Where the goals might come from

Nick Füllkrug has been Bremen's main threat with three goals in four matches, while Marvin Grüll has chipped in with goals and assists too. For Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy and Felix Nmecha have two goals apiece so far, spreading the scoring load.

Given Dortmund's tight defence at home and Bremen's leaky one away from it, this has the look of a match where Dortmund create plenty and control large spells, even if Bremen can nick a goal or two given their attacking form.

Key player statistics: Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

Borussia Dortmund:

Best scorers:

S. Guirassy - 2

F. Nmecha - 2

Best assist providers:

S. Guirassy - 2

Penalty cards:

S. Inacio x 1

J. Bellingham x 2

J. Ryerson x 2

Werder Bremen:

Best scorers:

N. Füllkrug - 3

M. Grüll - 2

Best assist providers:

M. Grüll - 3

Chuky San José - 2